Asian League · resolved market
Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73acc19b0fe2f92241ea108d459d16ec6496e7bbc01e53ba752a2a1d40c2d982
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked No | 16c | 20,696$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,416.19 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 77c | 6,626$5,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,131.66 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 3,987$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.92 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 80c | 3,543$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.66 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Yes | 11c | 3,249$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 20c | 1,521$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 54c | 1,016$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.59 | 184 | 42.4%78 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.25 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 20c | 884.58$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.79 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61c…9ad2backed No | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…766cbacked Yes | 20c | 627.2$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked No | 9c | 592.76$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.51 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 80c | 475.61$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 80c | 464.06$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.25 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 76c | 345.17$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.81 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed No | 13c | 332.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.7 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3e…8b7cbacked No | 20c | 320.79$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.96 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 64c | 252.16$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.48 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 46c | 240.81$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.89 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 15c | 235.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.01 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 22c | 227.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…f457backed Yes | 49c | 212.54$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Yes | 44c | 168$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 18c | 166.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.73 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked No | 27c | 165.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.26 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 58c | 156.68$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 54c | 154.29$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 19c | 151$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 20c | 147.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.01 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 20c | 145$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 19c | 141.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.06 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 131.64$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Yes | 20c | 124.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 24c | 119.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…0dc3backed No | 80c | 112.56$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 68c | 101.21$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +7.6wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 19c | 94.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 76c | 88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 15c | 87.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 79c | 83.18$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 29c | 70.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 80c | 69.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 25c | 69.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed No | 80c | 66.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 37c | 66.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…0d92backed No | 19c | 65.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 21c | 54.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 53c | 47.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 80c | 44.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 80c | 41.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 40c | 38.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 51c | 37.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 45c | 34.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 80c | 25.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed No | 80c | 21.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 80c | 21.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 80c | 19.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 79c | 16.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 80c | 15.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 80c | 15.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 80c | 14.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-04-19?this page
- Will Nagoya Grampus vs. Avispa Fukuoka end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-04-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.