Premier League · resolved market
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4222df16d608935372b198620f8a7bcb9a7aaebc15711e1304d188f68c50bc65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 3,271$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.2 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 2,390$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.09 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 69c | 712$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.72 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 704.03$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.21 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Yes | 7c | 478.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 20c | 458.73$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.08 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 30c | 450$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 76c | 343.55$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 34c | 296.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7858…a5eabacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 178.42$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 136.61$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 24c | 132.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 23c | 123$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 31c | 96.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -67%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 86.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 29c | 59.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 29c | 54.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 71c | 51.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes | 31c | 48.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…1583backed Yes | 36c | 47.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes | 45c | 44.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 71c | 43.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 69c | 36.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 73c | 34.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4963…e0a5backed Yes | 39c | 28.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc779…a904backed No | 76c | 22.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed No | 52c | 20.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 15.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portsmouth FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-18?No won
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.