Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x094b2d23c1a97b0ff62563e2396835ef5dcb6cba6ae6bd7337f82aa6af229067
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4147…902abacked Yes | 13c | 869.19$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…e58fbacked No | 69c | 447.77$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 31c | 444.75$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.57 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…ae44backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 400.14$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.63 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 31c | 368.34$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.93 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Yes | 28c | 360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 356.33$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 317.75$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 77c | 278$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 69c | 198.72$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.62 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…82fcbacked Yes | 30c | 175.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 30c | 175$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…f457backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 35c | 150$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 70c | 138.65$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…53f2backed No | 71c | 133.86$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 16c | 132.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 122.27$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 119.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 65c | 119$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 70c | 92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 26c | 76.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 31c | 74.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 70c | 72.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 72c | 69.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 109 | 71.6%78 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 30c | 69.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 22c | 65.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…b823backed Yes | 30c | 60.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 53.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes | 28c | 51.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 30c | 49.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 70c | 48.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 30c | 46.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 30c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 30c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 30c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Yes | 31c | 43.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…dc7cbacked No | 73c | 41.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 32c | 41.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 66c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b2…dcc5backed No | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…f5b9backed No | 70c | 26.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…4375backed No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…ef33backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 71c | 14.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Portsmouth FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.