South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SE Palmeiras vs. CS Cristal end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93d8a23cafd192f651f2a854c0cfad9169bda4dc2c7466369fafe9a7753b3218
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 4,526$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.52 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 38c | 4,228$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 26c | 3,696$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.79 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 3,473$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.13 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed No | 72c | 1,025$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.03 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 31c | 999.59$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.87 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 12c | 980.76$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 11c | 952.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Yes | 28c | 797.82$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.39 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 4c | 640.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 72c | 509.45$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.65 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 18c | 501.19$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 25c | 434.21$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.47 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 13c | 394.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 30c | 379.72$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.92 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 26c | 360.58$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.65 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked No | 72c | 344.95$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.93 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 10c | 337.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes | 5c | 320$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfff4…6089backed Yes | 12c | 320$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…ab7cbacked Yes | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 53cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed No | 75c | 301.14$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.05 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 80c | 289.91$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 12c | 249.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 5c | 237.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 14c | 231.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Yes | 10c | 185.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 19c | 165.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Yes | 30c | 159.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 142.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de8…3cdebacked Yes | 12c | 141.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 29c | 138.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 73c | 101.62$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25cf…d9a0backed Yes | 25c | 97.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…1583backed Yes | 12c | 94.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 92.31$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 83.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed Yes | 35c | 83.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 16c | 81.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 19c | 69.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 17c | 67.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 16c | 65.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 69c | 60.18$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb078…289ebacked Yes | 43c | 59.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…e95fbacked Yes | 29c | 49.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 75c | 39.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…6e10backed Yes | 39c | 37.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a9…6bb5backed No | 72c | 32.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 38c | 27.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…f642backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…ee1abacked No | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed No | 66c | 22.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed No | 72c | 22.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f02…f85fbacked No | 74c | 19.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 74c | 19.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed No | 73c | 18.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e96…262ebacked No | 63c | 16.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SE Palmeiras vs. CS Cristal end in a draw?this page
- Will CS Cristal win on 2026-04-16?No won
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.