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South American Leagues · resolved market

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$172,355
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,355 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No23c17,290$3,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,982.578,17548.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L+27.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No17c11,926$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985.585,87345.3%2,663 W · 3,210 L+96.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No41c9,783$4,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,034.956355.6%35 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No26c9,098$2,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.312,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Yes52c4,601$2,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,208.622445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No21c4,474$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.7547756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No21c4,057$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.1557157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes60c3,804$2,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No15c3,658$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.783,46151.4%1,779 W · 1,682 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No15c3,493$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.9652949.7%263 W · 266 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No25c2,916$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.250746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No46c2,877$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.572330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+438.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes79c2,492$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.039562.1%59 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010146.5%47 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No17c1,624$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.0247758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No25c1,545$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.933633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No17c1,512$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.9726160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc418…5e1ebacked Yes69c1,450$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.48650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No17c1,376$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.8763657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No11c1,360$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.843,87438.4%1,486 W · 2,388 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Yes68c1,355$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.642944.8%13 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Yes68c1,344$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No16c1,310$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.571,72650.5%872 W · 854 L-7.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No17c1,260$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.372,34651.4%1,207 W · 1,139 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No36c1,209$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.881,56645%704 W · 862 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No17c991.87$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.471,36249.8%678 W · 684 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed No20c895.82$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.323562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No29c750.18$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.381,34142.8%574 W · 767 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb8…5a18backed Yes72c686.13$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe702…d88cbacked No16c685.72$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.712737%10 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No16c654.94$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7913545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes76c647.39$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9116362.6%102 W · 61 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes52c616.34$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.8410155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b0…7b16backed No16c615.86$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.544337.2%16 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes68c588.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.3199259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes59c542.66$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.2484943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Yes79c539.03$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.012548%12 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes64c502.08$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.517839.7%31 W · 47 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Yes76c496.46$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.1417560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x623b…8facbacked Yes59c487.9$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No37c481.1$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.0113450.7%68 W · 66 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes71c459.06$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.45042%21 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc10d…e679backed Yes66c446.87$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.031030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed No17c428.76$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8915457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c8c…f5e2backed Yes69c426.7$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.28475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes72c416.66$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6620364.5%131 W · 72 L+20.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Yes50c406$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2033243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa55a…75a6backed Yes75c381.16$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.291580%12 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No18c375.54$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No5c374.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.992979.3%23 W · 6 L+7.8wins+0.27per pick52cpaid+73.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Yes69c370.11$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No17c352.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.938861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes76c349.3$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8333745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked No17c322.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.518350.6%42 W · 41 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Yes65c305.11$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.348146.9%38 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked No20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8110966.1%72 W · 37 L+13.7wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+38.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No16c299.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+111.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a5d…460fbacked Yes77c297.83$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2234backed No40c297.01$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.693650%18 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+40.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes80c296.4$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.281,34956.7%765 W · 584 L+54.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes72c278$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.742864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe09…7acebacked Yes78c255.49$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked No15c254.55$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.186529.2%19 W · 46 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-45.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked No17c249.9$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.484858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Yes78c235.31$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.77977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Yes68c227.75$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.914461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe732…04a8backed Yes50c226.9$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.51435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Yes77c221.99$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.061241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8db2…f8a2backed No16c211.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.351030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-48.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes59c204.83$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.985050%25 W · 25 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007128.2%20 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes58c186.56$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.356142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Yes62c185.98$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6710826.9%29 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked No26c183.56$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.981926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes67c171.29$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8287521.3%186 W · 689 L-83.4wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-50.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x937d…b9c9backed No13c145.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…980abacked Yes59c142.57$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked No17c139.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.755660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Yes69c138.4$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.494822.9%11 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes68c137.96$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.195226.9%14 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-43.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes70c137.06$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8394848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Yes75c130.56$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.033167.7%21 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…04fbbacked No17c128.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.411618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-61.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No25c125.74$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5636757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa13…c84abacked No17c111.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No17c103.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4725864.3%166 W · 92 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes75c101.56$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5511863.6%75 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No16c98.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.821345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked No20c97.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.424042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No15c96.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.799741.2%40 W · 57 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Yes61c96.11$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.493956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed No16c94.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.194731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.1wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-39.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x521c…38f9backed Yes74c93.45$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes51c87.95$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.093920.5%8 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No17c87.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8719955.8%111 W · 88 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes58c85.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.551,28856.1%723 W · 565 L+74.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No15c84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.671,44751.8%750 W · 697 L+23.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x183d…1ee1backed Yes65c83.39$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d2a…d5d0backed Yes69c82.68$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.63580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.