Bundesliga · resolved market
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea1d5369b6eb6ec577c5a08dca07bb9d03ad7437cf0ab097d923a502d1da03ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $557,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $558,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $557,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Yes | 41c | 177,649$72,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,415.34 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed No | 59c | 85,637$50,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,809.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +113%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 59c | 46,360$27,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,352.4 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 45c | 41,225$18,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,735.22 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 42c | 26,127$10,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,153.75 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 59c | 25,990$15,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,334.1 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 18,503$8,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,089.14 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 15,921$8,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,790.76 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 69c | 14,992$10,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,647.5 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 55c | 13,956$7,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,675.7 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 17c | 13,723$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.92 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 43c | 12,882$5,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,326.38 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 12,588$7,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,567.14 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…2bb7backed No | 58c | 9,823$5,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,697.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes | 38c | 9,628$3,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,969.36 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…f402backed No | 54c | 9,613$5,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,162.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…13cdbacked No | 62c | 8,000$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,960 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 59c | 8,000$4,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,720 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 46c | 7,952$3,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,660.54 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 44c | 7,731$3,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,329.47 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Yes | 45c | 6,315$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,470.44 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…3842backed Yes | 43c | 5,814$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,313.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 59c | 4,760$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808.37 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…9ecebacked No | 56c | 4,500$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 41c | 4,490$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.66 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 41c | 4,333$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,556.55 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked No | 34c | 4,237$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed No | 59c | 4,173$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 59c | 3,500$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 41c | 3,410$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.33 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 41c | 3,410$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.33 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 58c | 3,109$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.2 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 33c | 2,591$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Yes | 39c | 2,440$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.17 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 59c | 2,401$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.25 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 59c | 2,341$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.7 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…ae44backed No | 31c | 2,180$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 57c | 2,170$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 57c | 2,149$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.98 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 44c | 2,052$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.03 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 59c | 2,037$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.33 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Yes | 38c | 1,988$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.42 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 21c | 1,936$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.16 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked No | 58c | 1,756$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.48 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 52c | 1,628$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.41 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 55c | 1,538$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.43 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…c123backed No | 57c | 1,461$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked No | 34c | 1,372$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.38 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 61c | 1,310$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.68 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 57c | 1,198$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.91 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 60c | 1,170$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.63 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…6a93backed Yes | 44c | 1,142$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +60%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 31c | 1,110$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.14 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 61c | 1,100$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…7bd7backed No | 56c | 1,043$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.16 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 59c | 1,007$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.1 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Yes | 67c | 999.97$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 44c | 966.4$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.18 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 59c | 900$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked No | 58c | 889.02$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.63 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a33…6410backed No | 56c | 869.29$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de3…2fc5backed No | 56c | 818.97$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes | 43c | 762.85$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.94 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 58c | 758.8$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.93 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Yes | 78c | 728.03$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 41c | 719.42$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.23 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes | 69c | 711.16$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.46 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…b068backed Yes | 43c | 698.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked No | 57c | 683.65$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 44c | 678$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.32 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Yes | 46c | 634.55$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…caf5backed No | 62c | 630.45$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 30c | 607.16$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.56 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 34c | 595.6$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed No | 31c | 566.19$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.52 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 564$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.9 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 70c | 532.1$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.68 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…48babacked Yes | 70c | 528.88$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 41c | 521.91$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.23 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed No | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked No | 33c | 499.97$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Yes | 53c | 494.24$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.78 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 58c | 464.94$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.36 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 55c | 444$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 15c | 441.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Yes | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-18?No won
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.