Bundesliga · resolved market
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe325a8647f3b8a87625840c2b325d197b74763b3841e52655e5746a3be1df879
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $511,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $525,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $511,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 464 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 37c | 181,539$66,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,348.85 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 62,889$40,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,983.33 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 64c | 54,177$34,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,503.65 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 63c | 36,495$23,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,448.44 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 63c | 27,900$17,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,322.93 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 21,828$16,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,181.9 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed No | 63c | 20,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 67c | 15,201$10,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,016.41 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 14,262$8,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,288.95 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Yes | 37c | 13,003$4,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,811 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 64c | 8,000$5,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 64c | 7,827$5,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.79 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d1…288ebacked No | 68c | 7,198$4,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…6ccebacked Yes | 32c | 6,928$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 6,607$4,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.51 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.94 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 63c | 5,948$3,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.88 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 34cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 36c | 5,697$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…6e7dbacked Yes | 0c | 4,737$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 12c | 4,670$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.38 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 27c | 4,118$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.11 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 63c | 4,000$2,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.98 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Yes | 32c | 3,853$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.01 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 33c | 3,586$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.25 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…ae44backed Yes | 23c | 3,550$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 69c | 3,526$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.81 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 37c | 3,511$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.97 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 64c | 3,500$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 13c | 3,418$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.16 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 32c | 3,229$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.06 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 64c | 3,132$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.06 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 64c | 2,935$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.67 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 2,933$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.13 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Yes | 39c | 2,808$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.24 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Yes | 0c | 2,792$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 37c | 2,700$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.99 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed No | 63c | 2,402$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 32c | 2,336$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.65 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 63c | 2,120$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.89 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 63c | 1,994$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.78 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 32c | 1,956$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 31c | 1,779$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.54 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Yes | 39c | 1,681$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.75 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9c…4695backed Yes | 30c | 1,603$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 36c | 1,600$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.42 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed No | 64c | 1,569$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd66b…1220backed Yes | 13c | 1,479$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 30c | 1,454$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.19 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…9ecebacked Yes | 32c | 1,450$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 1,437$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.57 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 62c | 1,404$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.15 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab4c…2a53backed Yes | 37c | 1,395$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 38c | 1,300$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 63c | 1,269$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.75 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked Yes | 38c | 1,267$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…6609backed No | 63c | 1,231$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 8c | 1,178$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.27 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked Yes | 4c | 1,178$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Yes | 17c | 1,100$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked No | 67c | 1,073$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 63c | 1,071$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.52 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…ab0cbacked No | 68c | 1,023$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +10.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…a2c9backed No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ef…1d4cbacked No | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed Yes | 30c | 999.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 33c | 984.75$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.97 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…9309backed No | 72c | 983.2$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed No | 68c | 981.14$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.97 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 68c | 980.8$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.86 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 63c | 977.8$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.79 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 65c | 973.89$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.97 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b2…94b8backed Yes | 12c | 962.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 68c | 960.53$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.92 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 12c | 947.2$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.66 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Yes | 36c | 940.98$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 32c | 908.73$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.7 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 35c | 905.72$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.01 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…5055backed Yes | 6c | 900.84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 63c | 898.98$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.34 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 63c | 880.02$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.61 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 32c | 835.16$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 43c | 818.26$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.12 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 63c | 814.51$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.37 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 33c | 791.79$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.27 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?No won
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.