TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$172,948
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$204,282

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,948 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes41c24,515$10,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,464.131650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No36c23,150$8,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,359.2471140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No42c15,293$6,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,433.41,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c7,927$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,300.131,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes20c5,887$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,721.4329637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No46c5,571$2,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,557.748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No60c4,952$2,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,971.034252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No5c4,348$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.4311916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Yes45c3,652$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Yes44c3,295$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed No60c3,249$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.115151%26 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes20c2,564$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.271030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes19c2,556$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,070.878435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes21c2,249$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.881618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-33.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No80c2,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6003461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No80c2,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6004250%21 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No40c1,811$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.6718046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes19c1,476$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.4220150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed No33c1,469$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.61560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Yes46c1,278$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+187.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes40c1,228$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.664544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef3…6c6abacked Yes40c1,205$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7231369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No80c1,034$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.5812647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes19c1,001$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.153148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5317…37b8backed No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked No53c971.8$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.052352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked No60c930.45$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.27540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No41c907.56$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.6924349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes20c855.99$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.8752550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes20c729.11$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.2928448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes50c679$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.53080%24 W · 6 L+7.8wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+64.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No43c632.78$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.0133145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No79c507.2$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.699046.7%42 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed No80c500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes21c475.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.7612050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes21c432.45$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.632665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+70.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No78c421.46$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.742962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No80c417.55$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.0426354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No80c414.96$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.976357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked No61c400.25$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.151758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes19c400$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3246530.8%20 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No59c389.52$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.822441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No37c365.65$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.224017.5%7 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-49.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes32c326.45$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.998066.3%53 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Yes19c300$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2431136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed No45c299.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed No16c290.01$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.41040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No80c275.65$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.526654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe732…04a8backed No61c265.76$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.12520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No80c261.97$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.263953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…a2acbacked Yes19c250.37$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.82445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid0%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e9c…bf99backed No79c249.97$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.482254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick67cpaid-8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes49c249.29$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.014330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea87…8066backed Yes21c226.81$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.181040%4 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick24cpaid+44.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes21c226.81$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.184238.1%16 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe803…0416backed Yes21c226.81$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.18520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes63c225.66$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.662277.3%17 W · 5 L+6.3wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+78.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Yes45c220$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1211100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8efb…c73ebacked No12c208.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.422450%12 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed No52c207.48$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.162748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No62c204.9$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.044372.1%31 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes19c200.29$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.243732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No80c200$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16012238.5%47 W · 75 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404122%9 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed No58c189.93$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…3203backed No80c182.67$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.141241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-34.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No80c182.2$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7612963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Yes21c168$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.727853.8%42 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked No61c164.9$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.593658.3%21 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc56f…3670backed No61c160.1$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.66933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-44.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No68c155.88$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.356755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed No33c152.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.932236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bf…231fbacked Yes40c144.6$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.762846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x064f…d1a4backed Yes79c128.02$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.996051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x235a…b3b8backed No80c124.07$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.26742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed No55c123.84$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x088a…9ee7backed Yes80c123.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes20c120$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.613844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4ed…33ffbacked Yes20c119$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.21040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+30.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0888…aad3backed Yes41c117.63$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes55c114.57$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.361752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d8a…e03fbacked No60c108.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.39666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No58c103.84$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.979450%47 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Yes40c103.63$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.181625%4 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb161…9132backed No59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes20c99.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.972729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes21c95.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.267556%42 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed No53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.591233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x572e…ac69backed No80c79.04$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.232669.2%18 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick69cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes20c78.71$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9887344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed Yes42c78.43$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed30…1583backed No17c77.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2352…4c5abacked No60c76.45$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.87425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Yes53c76.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.65850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No55c76$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.82360.9%14 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+54.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Yes23c73.4$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.524030%12 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No79c72.65$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5523342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.