TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,538,199
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,014,500

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,538,199 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,616 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Pistons34c385,396$131,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254,361.272648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0f0…bad3backed Hornets66c304,388$200,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200,895.76944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab82…abe5backed Hornets66c225,308$148,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148,703.2830%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pistons42c181,647$77,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,499.3366248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hornets66c136,237$89,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,916.536549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x959a…7b64backed Pistons38c129,741$48,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,006.743357.6%19 W · 14 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+42%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed Hornets65c100,000$65,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,999.798750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73ff…0facbacked Pistons36c74,555$26,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,714.976357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Pistons35c72,844$25,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,348.4711137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Hornets62c72,665$45,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,404.7921549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Hornets12c54,147$6,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,233.7213442.5%57 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Hornets62c51,327$31,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,822.4656646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets64c45,111$28,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,662.454,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Hornets51c34,435$17,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,524.7720744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29ac…ea58backed Pistons39c32,921$12,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,002.891040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons34c32,413$11,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,392.451,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Hornets62c31,704$19,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,625.581,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Hornets65c30,000$19,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,499.999745.4%44 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad2b…f091backed Hornets66c29,388$19,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,396.082937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pistons40c28,507$11,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,069.971,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pistons46c28,299$13,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,178.892,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Pistons50c26,859$13,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,492.919336.6%34 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8516…93a0backed Pistons45c25,828$11,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,241.18035%28 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Hornets58c24,710$14,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,340.539349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets63c23,890$15,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,052.154,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Pistons36c23,846$8,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,261.6658740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x938f…a768backed Pistons54c22,803$12,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,450.122650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd41a…fd60backed Pistons42c22,028$9,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,790.133148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Hornets64c21,277$13,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,614.2914338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons34c21,215$7,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,001.61,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9615…60ddbacked Hornets55c20,050$11,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,097.4814853.4%79 W · 69 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9410…ffcdbacked Hornets51c19,102$9,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,814.784030%12 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Pistons35c17,660$6,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,478.841954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Pistons41c17,382$7,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,256.1221350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d90…1310backed Hornets57c16,574$9,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,479.715274.3%113 W · 39 L+22.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Hornets32c15,573$4,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,939.9289850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8258…bfbcbacked Hornets61c14,335$8,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,810.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb6…1c50backed Pistons35c14,067$4,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,143.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a59…9a2fbacked Pistons44c13,916$6,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,793.1516863.1%106 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked Pistons38c13,000$4,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,060560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Hornets57c12,756$7,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,307.9635547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Pistons64c12,518$8,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,512.21,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets64c11,348$7,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,311.359,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed Pistons63c11,287$7,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,143.511442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+80.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x783c…146abacked Pistons35c11,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,149.761457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Hornets62c10,934$6,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,806.297852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Hornets61c10,851$6,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,588.442348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Pistons44c10,800$4,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,04811335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hornets64c10,714$6,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,879.982,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Pistons36c10,565$3,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,813.5522036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Pistons41c10,485$4,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,171.661336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Pistons34c10,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,600.0149244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets62c9,220$5,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,710.786,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Pistons36c8,386$3,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,367.018050%40 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Hornets62c8,052$4,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,992.9328554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Hornets66c7,936$5,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,237.7570147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f62…570cbacked Hornets65c7,893$5,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,130.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hornets46c7,778$3,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,550.921,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Hornets56c7,668$4,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,290.1818941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cba…3516backed Hornets65c7,531$4,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,895933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Pistons48c7,308$3,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,798.4416959.8%101 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff36…e757backed Pistons48c6,828$3,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,522.8211547%54 W · 61 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Hornets54c6,485$3,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,496.581353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hornets63c6,434$4,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,037.393,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8cbc…c413backed Hornets54c6,241$3,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,369.993056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Pistons43c6,092$2,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,497.0435650%178 W · 178 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f0…1db6backed Pistons38c6,023$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,734.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a1a…83eabacked Pistons38c6,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7203259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Hornets64c6,000$3,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8402951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Hornets53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,179.9932846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Pistons34c6,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,959.9638434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Pistons34c5,992$2,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,954.834548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf402…df7cbacked Hornets65c5,985$3,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,890.191770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Hornets53c5,799$3,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,073.318345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96dd…17febacked Pistons51c5,709$2,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,797.618661.6%53 W · 33 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Pistons35c5,629$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,658.6614243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Hornets59c5,517$3,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,254.6917051.8%88 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Hornets44c5,321$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.6411945.4%54 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pistons53c5,289$2,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,460.652,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Hornets55c5,269$2,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,886.5325945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Pistons35c5,159$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,353.538143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6584…88c0backed Pistons40c5,122$2,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,073.246240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Hornets56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.9920454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd21…a494backed Pistons39c5,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.995246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Hornets58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.9914355.9%80 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Pistons46c4,927$2,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.5820856.7%118 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hornets35c4,884$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.53,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Pistons45c4,878$2,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,690.5793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Pistons50c4,850$2,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,42548845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Hornets59c4,721$2,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,785.357468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Hornets51c4,603$2,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,327.9463746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Hornets55c4,582$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.810743%46 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Hornets44c4,578$2,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,028.5525226.6%67 W · 185 L-26.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Pistons58c4,551$2,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,904.524937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hornets60c4,516$2,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,726.182,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Hornets57c4,497$2,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,543.93732.4%12 W · 25 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe49d…ff91backed Hornets63c4,449$2,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,803.025655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Hornets66c4,402$2,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,905.3410352.4%54 W · 49 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pistons67c4,346$2,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.851,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Hornets0c4,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.758820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.