Asian League · resolved market
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5adcd59c5f2ad8d2b2371691dcaa7e8bcf6a414c6c939fe8e9ec29c76e0099bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 6,244$4,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.75 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes | 24c | 6,022$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.61 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed Yes | 35c | 6,011$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 3,184$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.85 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 52c | 2,878$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.18 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 2,660$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.33 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 2,566$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.83 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Yes | 55c | 2,200$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes | 55c | 1,225$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.09 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 45c | 1,153$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.38 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…82fdbacked Yes | 48c | 1,063$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9384…8a95backed Yes | 26c | 1,029$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 27c | 1,000$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.5 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…7fb5backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 64c | 954.77$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.18 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 42c | 952.35$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.36 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 58c | 950.47$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.51 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 46c | 749.96$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.06 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked Yes | 28c | 673.4$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Yes | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 49c | 613.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 496.17$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.04 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 36c | 480.48$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.94 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked No | 51c | 458.84$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…c8dcbacked Yes | 34c | 435.29$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 33c | 425$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…7543backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 49c | 392.75$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.02 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…d917backed Yes | 28c | 375.64$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 44c | 352.11$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.54 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes | 49c | 342$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 65c | 307.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.16 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 301.83$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.11 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Yes | 12c | 299.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 23c | 292.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 51c | 246.8$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.93 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 58c | 239$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.62 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 44c | 238.64$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed No | 54c | 220$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 24c | 215.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 12c | 204.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.12 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 58c | 194.29$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.69 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Yes | 47c | 191.68$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…718dbacked Yes | 39c | 179.41$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked No | 74c | 171.14$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 44c | 144.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 33c | 139.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed No | 49c | 139.06$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.92 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Yes | 49c | 137$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 49c | 132.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 52c | 119.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 47c | 116.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab8…ec20backed Yes | 55c | 115.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Yes | 49c | 115.45$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 53c | 113.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…1a75backed Yes | 40c | 110.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 55c | 109.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 57c | 107.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Yes | 46c | 102.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +7.6wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Yes | 14c | 99.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed Yes | 28c | 96.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 46c | 95.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 39c | 94.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 60c | 83.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 28c | 82.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 50c | 73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 50c | 70.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed Yes | 27c | 65.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…1533backed Yes | 54c | 65.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xddaa…f46bbacked No | 52c | 63.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 54c | 61.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 56c | 58.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 49c | 53.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 58c | 52.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069b…e8afbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 60c | 48.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ba…0444backed No | 52c | 45.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc36c…b7b3backed No | 52c | 44.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Yes | 55c | 42.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x406a…94c8backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-04-19?this page
- Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-04-19?No won
- Will Gamba Ōsaka vs. Fagiano Okayama end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.