Asian League · resolved market
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbe5f6063880b34e7cb60ccc20bff93d3dafcf23b498f35e33c8c6d39c1dc0a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 42c | 2,931$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.59 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 26c | 1,104$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 67c | 1,004$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.41 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 41c | 846.76$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.98 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Yes | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 55c | 546.6$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.63 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 43c | 408.77$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 376.97$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.3 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x581a…8e5fbacked No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 60c | 145.54$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 42c | 138.87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 45c | 136.38$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 62c | 132.4$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 55c | 131$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 62c | 126.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed No | 57c | 113.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…b4f5backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…2a9cbacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 37c | 91.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…1583backed No | 13c | 86.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 53c | 86.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 44c | 83.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 19c | 74.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Yes | 65c | 71.47$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Yes | 66c | 66.09$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 66c | 65.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 68c | 49.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 67c | 48.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Yes | 69c | 47.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Yes | 66c | 45.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 29c | 42.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 45c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 60c | 41.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Yes | 65c | 38.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Yes | 66c | 36.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 60c | 31.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 66c | 30.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 45c | 30.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed No | 62c | 28.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 68c | 27.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd10…32e8backed Yes | 74c | 26.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 59c | 25.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 66c | 21.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 60c | 21.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 60c | 18.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 60c | 17.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Fagiano Okayama end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.