Fifa International · resolved market
Will Iceland win on 2026-03-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x985042bb3b77a945e5a545eba8ba50676a4c9e4101867e1cfa58be09ea323f5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 50c | 19,008$9,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,428.14 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 51c | 12,347$6,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,093.36 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 5,362$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650.4 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 4,178$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.23 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Yes | 44c | 3,850$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.97 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.43 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 49c | 3,197$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.93 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 54c | 2,963$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.13 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 50c | 2,892$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.85 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 2,731$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.43 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 54c | 1,975$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.48 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Yes | 46c | 1,925$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.37 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 1,582$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.41 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 43c | 1,521$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.14 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 45c | 1,484$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.68 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…80c7backed Yes | 62c | 1,337$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.85 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…9d50backed No | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 57c | 1,135$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.51 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f74…9155backed Yes | 49c | 1,131$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb7…3cccbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…dbc0backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751d…9f55backed Yes | 51c | 987.56$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 8c | 867.53$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.13 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 51c | 849.97$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.48 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 57c | 805.23$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.56 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 55c | 770.01$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed No | 54c | 746$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.16 | 190 | 62.6%119 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Yes | 49c | 737.69$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 51c | 684.07$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.29 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 61c | 661$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.16 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 43c | 576.09$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 279 | 51.6%144 W · 135 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 557.61$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.54 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 39c | 547.8$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.33 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Yes | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 49c | 534.36$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.78 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 62c | 523$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.22 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 50c | 520.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.89 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 52c | 504.24$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.64 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 55c | 499.96$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.98 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 50c | 494.52$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.19 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed No | 50c | 489.96$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 50c | 453.73$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.87 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 49c | 452.74$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.77 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 46c | 433.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 46c | 429.06$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.36 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…f3a4backed Yes | 46c | 425.86$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.9 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 49c | 411.32$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.57 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b15…d362backed Yes | 76c | 392.34$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 53c | 356.94$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.83 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 50c | 345.94$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.56 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 340.83$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.86 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 52c | 325.13$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.49 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 59c | 318$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.36 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 46c | 307.36$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.57 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e3…b263backed Yes | 46c | 302.62$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 42c | 299.91$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.45 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 297.05$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.56 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked Yes | 45c | 286.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked No | 52c | 286.92$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.72 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Yes | 59c | 258.24$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.71 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d5…7c98backed No | 51c | 250.84$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked No | 49c | 242.23$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.07 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 52c | 227.71$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.3 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 52c | 226.32$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.95 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…c2aebacked Yes | 44c | 226.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked No | 48c | 226$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.15 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x428c…c64fbacked Yes | 45c | 220.13$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 53c | 216.19$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.65 | 285 | 45.3%129 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…9200backed Yes | 52c | 211.63$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 53c | 203.39$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.49 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…04a3backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…ba17backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 50c | 196.07$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yes | 72c | 193$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.86 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4536…c33fbacked Yes | 49c | 192$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6c…3a70backed Yes | 48c | 184$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked No | 55c | 182.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 55c | 182.4$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.61 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No | 51c | 173.71$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 618 | 55.3%342 W · 276 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f0…f0edbacked Yes | 47c | 172.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe47…a4b1backed No | 51c | 165.86$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.27 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…1f4bbacked Yes | 49c | 164$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 50c | 160.62$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Yes | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb012…0136backed Yes | 44c | 158.59$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 53c | 156.21$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.19 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…2ee8backed Yes | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 37c | 146$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.33 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19de…1ad2backed Yes | 49c | 143$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 51c | 141.73$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.45 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 51c | 140.72$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.45 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 47c | 140$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabc3…afc9backed Yes | 49c | 139$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…a33cbacked Yes | 46c | 138.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 71c | 138.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.11 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iceland win on 2026-03-31?this page
- Will Haiti vs. Iceland end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Haiti win on 2026-03-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.