Fifa International · resolved market
Will Haiti vs. Iceland end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2205258228daa66d0233ceb9a4d4fc355fce64a7c096cc7dfc28560f509f3ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 25c | 2,283$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.39 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,285$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.57 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 38c | 1,266$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.13 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 76c | 1,169$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.75 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 21c | 926.27$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 881.44$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.26 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 721.66$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.22 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 73c | 694.84$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.05 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 77c | 607.67$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.82 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 31c | 555.56$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.56 | 279 | 51.6%144 W · 135 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 65c | 466.53$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.46 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…69e5backed Yes | 26c | 421.28$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 22c | 388.91$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.11 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…9200backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 73c | 299.99$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked No | 74c | 209.38$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.94 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked Yes | 25c | 187.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.59 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +8.5wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd5…fe86backed Yes | 18c | 173.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +468%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 80c | 153.75$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.95 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 21c | 152.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.24 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 75c | 152.2$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.18 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked No | 77c | 143$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.44 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 25c | 136.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.41 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 74c | 126.84$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.42 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 121.81$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 25c | 117.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…fb43backed Yes | 21c | 117.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +134.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x428c…c64fbacked Yes | 27c | 111$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 73c | 109.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 76c | 100.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e14…82a5backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032b…603dbacked Yes | 14c | 94.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.59 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 76c | 93.83$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 12c | 88.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.16 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 73c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 68c | 75.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 26c | 65.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 25c | 62.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 74c | 56.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 25c | 54.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 69c | 46.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd6…a39cbacked Yes | 32c | 39.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 78c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 35.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 76c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 69c | 32.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed No | 75c | 32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 51c | 30.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd94a…43e9backed Yes | 36c | 30.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…68f5backed No | 73c | 29.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 38c | 29.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 73c | 24.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d2…f695backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…61d1backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 70c | 19.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 74c | 15.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 74c | 14.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Haiti vs. Iceland end in a draw?this page
- Will Haiti win on 2026-03-31?No won
- Will Iceland win on 2026-03-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.