Fifa International · resolved market
Will Haiti win on 2026-03-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacedd6639346086525ef0dc11f381bb401b4fa1ea7187ba07962803b4e5395e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,464$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.81 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 7c | 1,320$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 20c | 579.79$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.16 | 245 | 37.1%91 W · 154 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 28c | 563.55$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.87 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…69e5backed Yes | 22c | 422.95$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 348.75$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.03 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8268…8534backed Yes | 29c | 347.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 75c | 346.88$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 78c | 302.74$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.61 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 72c | 289.1$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.95 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 30c | 256.95$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 232.09$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 28c | 229.12$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 71c | 217.67$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 214.61$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 214.08$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 205.17$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked Yes | 21c | 185.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +8.5wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 175.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked No | 76c | 149.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 26c | 149.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Yes | 28c | 138.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 28c | 133$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 70c | 124.33$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…fb43backed Yes | 18c | 116.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +134.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 72c | 111.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 71c | 108.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 73c | 108$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 26c | 105.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 72c | 103.71$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked No | 72c | 100.88$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 261 | 46%120 W · 141 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 95.84$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 71c | 93.34$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d5…7c98backed Yes | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 72c | 85.41$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 72c | 78.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 28c | 78.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…7dcfbacked No | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Yes | 24c | 72.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad05…fb3bbacked Yes | 27c | 70.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 26c | 69.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 29c | 68.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 24c | 68.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 75c | 65.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 29c | 62.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 61.54$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 27c | 52.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Yes | 21c | 52.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 72c | 46.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 73c | 44.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd6…a39cbacked Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…c46cbacked No | 74c | 36.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 71c | 35.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 30c | 35.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No | 79c | 35.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 72c | 30.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…61d1backed No | 73c | 25.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ff…cf90backed No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.24per pick | 61cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…13a3backed No | 77c | 14.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Haiti win on 2026-03-31?this page
- Will Haiti vs. Iceland end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Iceland win on 2026-03-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.