TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb75…ba17

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.96
Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Will Iceland win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+73%+$164.5
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will England win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
England vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+203%+$134
Will Russia win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.3
Will Madagascar win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$194
Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$101.8
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$173
Colombia vs. France: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Colombia vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+98%+$198
Armenia vs. Belarus: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$220
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Córdoba CF vs. Granada CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
CD Mirandés vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.92
Real Valladolid CF vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
CD Mirandés vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+203%+$134
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.99
Real Zaragoza vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.2
Real Zaragoza vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$194.96
Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.4
Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.47
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$85
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$110
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$112.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$125.99
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Liquid (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$138
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.07
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$129
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$122
Oeiras 4: Jurij Rodionov vs Colton Smithbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Zagreb: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Josip Simundzabacked Alvaro Guillen Meza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovicbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+158.1%+$245
Grand Prix Hassan II: Timofey Skatov vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.79
Bucharest Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Filip Jianubacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$185.46
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)backed Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Panthers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$169
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Aldosivi vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$98.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$110.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Clippers (-17.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$162
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Randers FC vs. Odense BK: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.