TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, Team Yandex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$623,694
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$731,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $623,694 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex45c78,755$35,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,399.8254556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports56c31,800$17,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,991.9955157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Yandex10c31,763$3,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,094.9945139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c68…6746backed Team Yandex8c25,992$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9791861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick40cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1776…e557backed Tundra Esports54c24,866$13,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,401.992450%12 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex15c22,119$3,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,221.252,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba4a…9fa6backed Tundra Esports53c18,549$9,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,772.893857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports52c15,235$7,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,349.4996557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Yandex47c15,213$7,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,150.0328748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Yandex41c12,628$5,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,142.461,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Yandex44c11,111$4,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,888.8432854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex20c10,668$2,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,186.3148954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Team Yandex45c8,884$3,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9986637.9%25 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x168b…0acfbacked Tundra Esports73c6,580$4,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.3918362.8%115 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ef2…79f9backed Tundra Esports54c6,526$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,025.86771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+42.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Team Yandex48c6,495$3,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,117.4822647.3%107 W · 119 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tundra Esports50c5,219$2,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,609.9619847%93 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7cf…a603backed Team Yandex42c5,103$2,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,143.196349.2%31 W · 32 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf755…8e37backed Tundra Esports76c5,006$3,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.247268.1%49 W · 23 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Team Yandex1c5,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013020%26 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe457…8c08backed Tundra Esports58c4,921$2,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.634748.9%23 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d3f…ab65backed Tundra Esports53c4,500$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1159749.5%48 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Yandex44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.556955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports54c4,000$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,86080443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc77e…5371backed Team Yandex49c3,951$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed Team Yandex49c3,843$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.862850%14 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Tundra Esports79c3,829$3,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.3951049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed Tundra Esports53c3,602$1,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.897941.8%33 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d8d…9fb0backed Team Yandex2c3,550$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.58622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports51c3,388$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.2979959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Tundra Esports52c3,100$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.9580256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Team Yandex48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44069644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59c8…de83backed Tundra Esports55c2,849$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.39447.9%45 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Team Yandex45c2,614$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.53743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Team Yandex4c2,567$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0516725.7%43 W · 124 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Team Yandex8c2,520$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.515251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0905…d3f1backed Tundra Esports57c2,455$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.762832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed Team Yandex50c2,400$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20038653.9%208 W · 178 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Tundra Esports55c2,400$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.260552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf394…cdb1backed Team Yandex42c2,366$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.663036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Yandex35c2,323$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.3251751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Team Yandex47c2,302$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.250832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Yandex3c2,200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7637811.1%42 W · 336 L+0.8wins0.00per pick11cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Team Yandex43c2,200$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.9933549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2969…d6e5backed Tundra Esports52c2,115$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.384131.7%13 W · 28 L-6.2wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Yandex26c2,094$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.481,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Team Yandex49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013850%69 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Tundra Esports58c2,012$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.8444149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Tundra Esports50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00027153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Yandex47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94060646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed Team Yandex49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.9636343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Team Yandex52c1,937$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99961745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports64c1,902$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.62,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex26c1,900$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.31,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x555c…319ebacked Tundra Esports53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.792552%13 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Tundra Esports58c1,800$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75099844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Tundra Esports50c1,800$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90033541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Team Yandex50c1,773$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.4264149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Tundra Esports56c1,710$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.259153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c64…c336backed Tundra Esports59c1,687$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.299852%51 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x879b…fb7bbacked Tundra Esports60c1,672$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.994168.3%28 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed Tundra Esports65c1,602$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.993666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Team Yandex45c1,600$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72558744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Yandex26c1,545$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.241,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Tundra Esports51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73515848.1%76 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed Tundra Esports57c1,387$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.31947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x786a…9cd5backed Tundra Esports58c1,384$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.192142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Tundra Esports58c1,382$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.272161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed Tundra Esports56c1,344$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.9855457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Team Yandex1c1,323$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.737018.9%70 W · 300 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed Tundra Esports53c1,300$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.4131245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba31…d1dfbacked Team Yandex8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabbb…727abacked Team Yandex6c1,250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704610.9%5 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-66.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3b1…cf86backed Tundra Esports62c1,228$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.491770.6%12 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Team Yandex49c1,200$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5887955.7%44 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8010…c05fbacked Team Yandex19c1,189$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.7816932.5%55 W · 114 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Team Yandex21c1,179$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.754032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Team Yandex43c1,159$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.4957455.4%318 W · 256 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe723…831cbacked Team Yandex44c1,150$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5063271.9%23 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11d1…3b0dbacked Team Yandex16c1,150$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1874910.2%5 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-61.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x678c…1debbacked Tundra Esports58c1,108$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.411650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b14…039bbacked Tundra Esports53c1,052$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.543100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Team Yandex16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16029348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Tundra Esports52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4809145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Team Yandex1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Team Yandex25c999.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25014443.8%63 W · 81 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Tundra Esports68c985.52$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.218746.5%87 W · 100 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Tundra Esports58c911.22$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.8472035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Tundra Esports57c900$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3875749.1%28 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Yandex48c883.2$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.931,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Tundra Esports51c840.66$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.725147.4%119 W · 132 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Tundra Esports72c799.99$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.460251.2%308 W · 294 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x899e…0863backed Tundra Esports77c765.08$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.5126454.5%144 W · 120 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Team Yandex11c759.92$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.941,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked Team Yandex43c746.27$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.439257.6%53 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports68c731.52$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.641,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Tundra Esports58c690.07$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.8315546.5%72 W · 83 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Team Yandex43c665.19$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.031747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Team Yandex10c654.76$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.991435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Tundra Esports57c651.15$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.28251.2%42 W · 40 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.