Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35dbb0744eb833b3566ceb8739ac2eda084c7451c7dafebf59bf1ac083d93c2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $623,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $731,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $623,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 45c | 78,755$35,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,399.82 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 31,800$17,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,991.99 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Yandex | 10c | 31,763$3,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,094.99 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c68…6746backed Team Yandex | 8c | 25,992$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1776…e557backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 24,866$13,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,401.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex | 15c | 22,119$3,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221.25 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…9fa6backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 18,549$9,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,772.89 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 15,235$7,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,349.49 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Yandex | 47c | 15,213$7,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,150.03 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Yandex | 41c | 12,628$5,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,142.46 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Yandex | 44c | 11,111$4,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,888.84 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex | 20c | 10,668$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.31 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Team Yandex | 45c | 8,884$3,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,998 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Tundra Esports | 73c | 6,580$4,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.39 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef2…79f9backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 6,526$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Yandex | 48c | 6,495$3,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,117.48 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 5,219$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.96 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Team Yandex | 42c | 5,103$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.19 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…8e37backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 5,006$3,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.24 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Team Yandex | 1c | 5,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…8c08backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 4,921$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.63 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 4,500$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Yandex | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.5 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 4,000$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc77e…5371backed Team Yandex | 49c | 3,951$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed Team Yandex | 49c | 3,843$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.86 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Tundra Esports | 79c | 3,829$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.39 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 3,602$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.89 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…9fb0backed Team Yandex | 2c | 3,550$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 3,388$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.29 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 3,100$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.95 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Yandex | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 2,849$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.3 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Team Yandex | 45c | 2,614$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.5 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Team Yandex | 4c | 2,567$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.05 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Team Yandex | 8c | 2,520$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.51 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…d3f1backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 2,455$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.76 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Team Yandex | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 2,400$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.2 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…cdb1backed Team Yandex | 42c | 2,366$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.66 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Yandex | 35c | 2,323$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.32 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Yandex | 47c | 2,302$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.2 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Yandex | 3c | 2,200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Team Yandex | 43c | 2,200$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.99 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…d6e5backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 2,115$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.38 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Yandex | 26c | 2,094$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.48 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Team Yandex | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 2,012$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.84 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Yandex | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Yandex | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.96 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Yandex | 52c | 1,937$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 1,902$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.6 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 26c | 1,900$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.3 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…319ebacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,800$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Yandex | 50c | 1,773$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.42 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 1,710$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.25 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 1,687$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.29 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…fb7bbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,672$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.99 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 1,602$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.99 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Yandex | 45c | 1,600$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Yandex | 26c | 1,545$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.24 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 1,387$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…9cd5backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,384$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.19 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,382$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.27 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 1,344$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.98 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Team Yandex | 1c | 1,323$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 1,300$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.41 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba31…d1dfbacked Team Yandex | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbb…727abacked Team Yandex | 6c | 1,250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b1…cf86backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 1,228$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.49 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Team Yandex | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…c05fbacked Team Yandex | 19c | 1,189$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.78 | 169 | 32.5%55 W · 114 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Team Yandex | 21c | 1,179$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.75 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Yandex | 43c | 1,159$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.49 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe723…831cbacked Team Yandex | 44c | 1,150$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…3b0dbacked Team Yandex | 16c | 1,150$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x678c…1debbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,108$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.41 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…039bbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 1,052$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Yandex | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Yandex | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Team Yandex | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 985.52$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.2 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 911.22$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.84 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 900$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Yandex | 48c | 883.2$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.93 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 840.66$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.7 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 799.99$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.4 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 765.08$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.51 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Yandex | 11c | 759.92$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Team Yandex | 43c | 746.27$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.43 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 731.52$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.64 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 690.07$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.83 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Team Yandex | 43c | 665.19$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.03 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Team Yandex | 10c | 654.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 651.15$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.2 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham PlayoffsTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 3 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)Tundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-2.5) vs Team Yandex (+2.5)Team Yandex won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 59.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 61.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 62.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 71.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.