TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, Team Yandex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,021
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,333

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,021 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb517…434bbacked Tundra Esports51c24,782$12,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,204.9722842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Tundra Esports49c17,347$8,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,760.982751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Yandex49c16,409$8,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,059.719943.2%86 W · 113 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex50c13,366$6,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,671.282,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a5c…a375backed Team Yandex51c11,049$5,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,611.923438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab19…4876backed Tundra Esports46c8,416$3,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,545.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Team Yandex57c4,211$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ed…ce26backed Team Yandex50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59f0…6ca0backed Team Yandex50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex58c3,424$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00054556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3eb…33d3backed Team Yandex51c2,562$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.825450%27 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ef2…79f9backed Tundra Esports57c2,268$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.29771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+42.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Team Yandex48c2,100$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Yandex47c2,027$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.4960542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Team Yandex51c2,015$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.86520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-70.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77c6…85b9backed Tundra Esports43c1,367$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.856546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Team Yandex70c1,211$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.3324955.4%138 W · 111 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2969…d6e5backed Tundra Esports52c1,151$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.294131.7%13 W · 28 L-6.2wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x27bc…6275backed Tundra Esports54c1,113$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.961050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Tundra Esports49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4116641.6%69 W · 97 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Tundra Esports49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5103461.8%21 W · 13 L+6.0wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+45%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x05fd…50c9backed Team Yandex51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac51…a1fbbacked Team Yandex40c999.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-40.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb22d…3a13backed Tundra Esports50c996.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.8624045.4%109 W · 131 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Team Yandex50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40033541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d56…046fbacked Tundra Esports43c652.33$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b0e…b4dbbacked Tundra Esports48c620.34$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked Tundra Esports49c617.31$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.4432148.3%155 W · 166 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Team Yandex63c570.87$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.437440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc97…2811backed Tundra Esports54c554.63$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.132560%15 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Tundra Esports48c507$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.6413045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1632…cb68backed Team Yandex50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c18…9b0ebacked Team Yandex50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Tundra Esports48c420$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.420043.5%87 W · 113 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ed…9bb9backed Team Yandex50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+28.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Tundra Esports40c396.89$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.1314744.2%65 W · 82 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Team Yandex52c350$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1827955.7%44 W · 35 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Tundra Esports36c279.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.733560%21 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x127e…cca1backed Tundra Esports46c243.56$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.9846150.8%234 W · 227 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Yandex51c223.45$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9632854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f99…db70backed Tundra Esports49c205.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.825450%27 W · 27 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+34.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Team Yandex50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053634%182 W · 354 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb61…2730backed Team Yandex53c188.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.791450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Team Yandex54c183.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Tundra Esports47c159.01$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2734154.5%186 W · 155 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Tundra Esports41c123.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.22425%6 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked Tundra Esports46c117$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1831143.4%135 W · 176 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86ee…ef1fbacked Tundra Esports53c114.72$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.926870.6%48 W · 20 L+9.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+19.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdefd…afbcbacked Tundra Esports44c113.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+87.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed Tundra Esports49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0460660.7%368 W · 238 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d1…b4c8backed Tundra Esports49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.045525.5%14 W · 41 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-32.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Tundra Esports49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5151140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Team Yandex65c99.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Tundra Esports51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0459556.6%337 W · 258 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbda0…c1cdbacked Tundra Esports37c97.36$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.65862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick35cpaid+117.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc313…6645backed Tundra Esports35c85.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7121051%107 W · 103 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ce7…81a3backed Team Yandex60c75.82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.493357.6%19 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Tundra Esports51c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7546354.6%253 W · 210 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Tundra Esports32c73.53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.773033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Tundra Esports45c66.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8222954.1%124 W · 105 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02e9…443bbacked Tundra Esports55c66.02$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5910650%53 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Team Yandex77c64.01$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.042781.5%22 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick75cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59cc…b1babacked Team Yandex60c60.68$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.411844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Tundra Esports49c60.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6823529.4%69 W · 166 L-21.5wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Team Yandex55c57.8$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.842763%17 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f16…b5b9backed Team Yandex57c55.79$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.831225%3 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x92f8…0e1fbacked Tundra Esports25c52.74$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.599440.4%38 W · 56 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0879…52fabacked Tundra Esports38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.636357.1%36 W · 27 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Team Yandex60c51.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0511549.6%57 W · 58 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Tundra Esports50c50.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.129656.1%166 W · 130 L+18.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1236…ef91backed Tundra Esports49c47.93$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.687347.9%35 W · 38 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Tundra Esports43c46.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.381,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xba00…747cbacked Team Yandex55c45.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.781250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed Team Yandex58c44.7$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.936055%33 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1676…ab19backed Team Yandex54c42.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.925545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Team Yandex56c35.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9312153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc8b…01e9backed Team Yandex49c33.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.414443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd30…9a01backed Team Yandex64c31.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2916054.4%87 W · 73 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Team Yandex78c31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1865337.2%243 W · 410 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked Team Yandex69c29.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6814963.1%94 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf824…651fbacked Team Yandex60c29.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.76757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa3f…233cbacked Team Yandex60c29.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.761650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfff1…12e4backed Team Yandex49c28.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0312937.2%48 W · 81 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5011…6237backed Team Yandex59c28.45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.796149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5407…dbc0backed Team Yandex76c26.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe626…839ebacked Team Yandex60c25.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+53.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Yandex52c24.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8819847%93 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x149d…ddbdbacked Team Yandex49c24.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1214037.9%53 W · 87 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd13…62fbbacked Team Yandex55c23.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.71450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Team Yandex78c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.669033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Team Yandex78c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.630250%151 W · 151 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ee…e241backed Team Yandex50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…cfedbacked Team Yandex60c18.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.811060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe53b…fe03backed Team Yandex74c14.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.66157.4%35 W · 26 L-7.7wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-17.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.