Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe96c97a6c0e3563f8cac361695f43a36ab28136c7e33fb6af2009ed5077eb8e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 24,782$12,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,204.97 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 17,347$8,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,760.98 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Yandex | 49c | 16,409$8,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,059.7 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex | 50c | 13,366$6,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,671.28 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5c…a375backed Team Yandex | 51c | 11,049$5,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,611.92 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 8,416$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,545.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 4,211$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…ce26backed Team Yandex | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f0…6ca0backed Team Yandex | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 58c | 3,424$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3eb…33d3backed Team Yandex | 51c | 2,562$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.82 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef2…79f9backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 2,268$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Team Yandex | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Yandex | 47c | 2,027$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.49 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Team Yandex | 51c | 2,015$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…85b9backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 1,367$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.85 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Team Yandex | 70c | 1,211$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.33 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…d6e5backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 1,151$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.29 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27bc…6275backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 1,113$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +45%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05fd…50c9backed Team Yandex | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac51…a1fbbacked Team Yandex | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 996.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.86 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Yandex | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d56…046fbacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 652.33$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0e…b4dbbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 620.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 617.31$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.44 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Team Yandex | 63c | 570.87$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.43 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc97…2811backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 554.63$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.13 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 507$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.64 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed Team Yandex | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c18…9b0ebacked Team Yandex | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…9bb9backed Team Yandex | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 396.89$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.13 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Team Yandex | 52c | 350$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 279.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.73 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 243.56$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.98 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Yandex | 51c | 223.45$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.96 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 205.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.82 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Team Yandex | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb61…2730backed Team Yandex | 53c | 188.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Team Yandex | 54c | 183.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 159.01$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.27 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 123.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 117$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 311 | 43.4%135 W · 176 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…ef1fbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 114.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 68 | 70.6%48 W · 20 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…afbcbacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 113.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…b4c8backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Team Yandex | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda0…c1cdbacked Tundra Esports | 37c | 97.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed Tundra Esports | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Team Yandex | 60c | 75.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 463 | 54.6%253 W · 210 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Tundra Esports | 32c | 73.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 66.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02e9…443bbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 66.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Team Yandex | 77c | 64.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 75cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59cc…b1babacked Team Yandex | 60c | 60.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 60.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 57.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Team Yandex | 57c | 55.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Tundra Esports | 25c | 52.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0879…52fabacked Tundra Esports | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Team Yandex | 60c | 51.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 50.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +18.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…ef91backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 47.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 46.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…747cbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 45.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Team Yandex | 58c | 44.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1676…ab19backed Team Yandex | 54c | 42.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Team Yandex | 56c | 35.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…01e9backed Team Yandex | 49c | 33.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Team Yandex | 64c | 31.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Team Yandex | 78c | 31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Team Yandex | 69c | 29.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…651fbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 29.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3f…233cbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 29.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…12e4backed Team Yandex | 49c | 28.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…6237backed Team Yandex | 59c | 28.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…dbc0backed Team Yandex | 76c | 26.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…839ebacked Team Yandex | 60c | 25.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 24.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149d…ddbdbacked Team Yandex | 49c | 24.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd13…62fbbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 23.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Team Yandex | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Team Yandex | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ee…e241backed Team Yandex | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…cfedbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 18.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Team Yandex | 74c | 14.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham PlayoffsTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 3 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 4 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-2.5) vs Team Yandex (+2.5)Team Yandex won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 59.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 61.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 62.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 71.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.