TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5e6e…cfed

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+286.9%+$33.25
LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$17.74
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$59.26
LoL: SK Gaming vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$50.25
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+113.5%+$25.59
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+144.1%+$32.32
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.54
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.49
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117%+$14.6
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+105%+$10.76
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.89
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.86
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.91
LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.12
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.97
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,636.36
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$428.57
England vs. Ghana: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+111.4%+$1,114.18
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$740.49
United States vs. Australia: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$765.87
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$650.2
Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$591.04
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH - Game 2 Winnerbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$22.37
Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.29
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+95%+$19.66
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.26
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$18.39
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+161.8%+$38.27
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.71
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$28.09
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.49
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Valorant: REIGNITE FOXX vs Fennel - Map 2 Winnerbacked REIGNITE FOXX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$38.38
Valorant: Mandatory vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.43
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs Mandatory - Map 2 Winnerbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$13.61
Valorant: Riddle vs REJECT (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 1backed REJECT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Valorant: Murash vs REIGNITE FOXX (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 1backed Murash · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Valorant: SaD Esports vs sleepers (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Swiss Stage Group Stagebacked SaD Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.