TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Mandatory vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mandatoryof Mandatory, Misa Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,596
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,852

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,596 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba38…e406backed Misa Esports38c6,295$2,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.1454751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Mandatory62c3,226$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.813447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Mandatory46c2,738$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.385856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Misa Esports33c1,535$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.6141537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Mandatory60c1,300$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52015850%79 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Mandatory62c1,261$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.413638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Misa Esports39c1,247$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.3370251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Misa Esports53c874.93$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.71,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…3fd9backed Misa Esports23c816.89$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.012661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mandatory61c668.41$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.9861035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Misa Esports61c645$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.4526051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Misa Esports38c638.44$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9729733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Mandatory61c534.66$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.7617349.7%86 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mandatory38c510.78$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.881,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd74…76b9backed Misa Esports46c483.54$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.733938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd168…9b5bbacked Mandatory62c441$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Mandatory63c410.48$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.082832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-29.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Mandatory61c397.05$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.857342.5%31 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed Mandatory62c395.5$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.296847.1%32 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Misa Esports61c357.9$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.323831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.7wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-33.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Mandatory59c347$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.2753442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Misa Esports40c343.88$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9177929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Misa Esports57c327.92$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2426932.3%87 W · 182 L-25.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Misa Esports16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4819240.1%77 W · 115 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf901…5f48backed Mandatory60c295$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1184551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Mandatory41c285.6$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.5511258%65 W · 47 L+12.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Mandatory53c283.68$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.574143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Misa Esports39c274.82$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3434847.4%165 W · 183 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41bb…6302backed Mandatory61c270$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.3933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fdd…2fb9backed Mandatory62c269.48$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Misa Esports44c264$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6766438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Mandatory61c244.67$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.422152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Mandatory61c235.31$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2617353.8%93 W · 80 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49ff…b00abacked Mandatory60c220$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Mandatory33c219.28$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.315438.9%21 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b36…b82ebacked Mandatory61c217$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Mandatory40c206.58$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9320248%97 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Misa Esports40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8086747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Misa Esports39c199.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782213.6%3 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.21per pick34cpaid-63.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Mandatory78c184.62$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Misa Esports42c182.54$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.669722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x7e56…55bbbacked Mandatory60c166.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Misa Esports62c165.71$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.694940.8%20 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Mandatory60c165.23$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.197953.2%42 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ce7…81a3backed Misa Esports62c158.65$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.365952.5%31 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Mandatory57c157.04$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0633759.6%201 W · 136 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Mandatory23c154$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.351942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf6e…c865backed Mandatory60c153.7$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Misa Esports39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.533753.1%179 W · 158 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c7d…d1c9backed Misa Esports59c149.67$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0130%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Mandatory61c145.14$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.612850%64 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1298…97b6backed Mandatory62c137.1$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.12445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Misa Esports62c136.13$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.41353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce2…4b11backed Misa Esports27c133$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.91633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Mandatory52c132$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.728837.5%33 W · 55 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x802e…ed9ebacked Misa Esports40c131$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Misa Esports27c125$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.754438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9810…b0debacked Mandatory60c114$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.61747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Misa Esports59c111$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.831,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Misa Esports68c107$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8142540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Mandatory53c105.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.169042.2%38 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Mandatory45c103.48$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4629151.5%150 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Misa Esports38c98.97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6120248.5%98 W · 104 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Mandatory40c98.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.94660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Misa Esports57c96.61$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7441835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c77…6747backed Misa Esports79c92.12$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.312630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Mandatory40c86.37$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6557517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Mandatory53c85$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1721048.1%101 W · 109 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Misa Esports49c65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5410959.6%65 W · 44 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2df…2368backed Misa Esports55c64.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.62065%13 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc5…ab06backed Misa Esports62c63.45$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3440%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Mandatory27c63.29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.411,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Misa Esports55c62$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3299846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4dc…0e2ebacked Misa Esports19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.14825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Misa Esports46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.65738.6%22 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Mandatory60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2460154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a8…642bbacked Misa Esports19c58.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.94425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Mandatory38c58.24$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.932853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ee1…bd81backed Mandatory61c56.28$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7310…2b8fbacked Misa Esports61c53.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.68650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Mandatory63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.56759.7%40 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a12…6450backed Misa Esports74c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Mandatory48c49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.583464.7%22 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Mandatory62c48.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.588744.8%39 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Mandatory31c47.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.84862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6c1…d9febacked Misa Esports51c42.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.743040%12 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x92b3…e305backed Mandatory61c42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa3f…233cbacked Misa Esports61c40.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59cc…b1babacked Misa Esports62c40.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.363647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34c5…db89backed Mandatory60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1615952.8%84 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Mandatory60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167142.3%30 W · 41 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbda…8bd5backed Mandatory55c39.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1810550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Misa Esports39c39.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3963652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x16f5…c651backed Misa Esports61c37.54$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-60%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Misa Esports42c37.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.758158%47 W · 34 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b00…c3bdbacked Mandatory62c37$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked Mandatory42c35.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.341050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Mandatory35c35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.824751.8%128 W · 119 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Mandatory62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2662856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc539…ca4ebacked Mandatory62c31.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1410100%10 W · 0 L+3.6wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.