Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Mandatory vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ce3bdf26927dc6b65542644c5229ad5e5bff90958de2c09776ed75b179d4d0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mandatoryof Mandatory, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Misa Esports | 1c | 6,033$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Mandatory | 58c | 3,228$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.61 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Misa Esports | 68c | 1,328$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.21 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Mandatory | 56c | 803.58$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.58 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mandatory | 56c | 690.86$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.98 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Misa Esports | 45c | 640.37$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.62 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Mandatory | 44c | 282.49$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.55 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Misa Esports | 53c | 202.64$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Mandatory | 58c | 158.81$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Mandatory | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Misa Esports | 34c | 156.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Misa Esports | 50c | 139.22$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Mandatory | 56c | 131.16$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Mandatory | 48c | 127.9$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Mandatory | 55c | 113.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Mandatory | 53c | 110.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Mandatory | 54c | 108.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Mandatory | 74c | 105$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…9429backed Mandatory | 70c | 101.74$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Misa Esports | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Misa Esports | 17c | 83.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Misa Esports | 42c | 74.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…5432backed Misa Esports | 36c | 65.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Mandatory | 65c | 61.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Misa Esports | 78c | 49.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.7wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Mandatory | 63c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Mandatory | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Misa Esports | 50c | 39.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Mandatory | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc18c…63dabacked Misa Esports | 52c | 32.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Misa Esports | 48c | 30.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Mandatory | 61c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeae…17c7backed Misa Esports | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Mandatory | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Mandatory | 57c | 19.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…8c94backed Misa Esports | 57c | 19.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb9…6c85backed Mandatory | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Mandatory vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Mandatory vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: PlayoffsMandatory won
- Valorant: Mandatory vs Misa Esports - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.