TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Riddle vs REJECT (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 1

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Riddleof Riddle, REJECT
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,646 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe6e4…22ccbacked REJECT48c3,200$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.0716639.2%65 W · 101 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed REJECT48c1,679$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.8326051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Riddle53c1,622$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.313751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed REJECT28c1,205$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.435743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf370…4f88backed Riddle52c999.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Riddle78c954.99$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.831,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed REJECT47c897.03$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.670251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Riddle50c877.28$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.5461035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Riddle55c793.9$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.884365.1%28 W · 15 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+40.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Riddle52c769.08$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.081838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed REJECT50c757.86$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.664940.8%20 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed REJECT48c712.66$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.1127546.2%127 W · 148 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Riddle53c692.03$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.758243.9%36 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed REJECT61c645.96$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.13831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.7wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-33.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Riddle52c613.71$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.917342.5%31 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Riddle53c600$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2847145.1%32 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Riddle52c578$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.1115942.1%67 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Riddle52c499.49$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.279845.9%45 W · 53 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Riddle51c489.22$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.8934847.4%165 W · 183 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f5c…7256backed REJECT45c457$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.65757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked REJECT47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18886747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf901…5f48backed Riddle52c378.85$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.854551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff4…d735backed Riddle24c324.94$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.041533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+100.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed REJECT48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1449746.4%45 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed Riddle52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1443246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Riddle53c299.96$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.9814447.2%68 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd054…dcb0backed REJECT44c294$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a04…c352backed Riddle55c285$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.25580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+65.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked REJECT43c232.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10078162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eb9…cb5dbacked Riddle57c223.12$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0915145%68 W · 83 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed REJECT48c218.75$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10534253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0201…9eeebacked REJECT40c213$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b85…b09abacked REJECT50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Riddle51c196.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.369053.3%48 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x123b…5398backed Riddle56c191$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.04580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+208%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Riddle54c187.38$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.56250%31 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked Riddle52c185.5$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.625444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x053e…1e27backed REJECT57c173.34$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.38633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b44…6219backed Riddle55c171$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.952100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c09…dfb9backed Riddle49c164.79$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.231957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed REJECT68c161.59$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.491353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed REJECT16c153.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.951,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f8…3b44backed Riddle60c135$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed Riddle54c120.17$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.384060%24 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Riddle52c116.69$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7711955.5%66 W · 53 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf824…651fbacked REJECT64c113.34$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.06650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…3fd9backed REJECT47c106.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked REJECT48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed REJECT48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9214…a368backed Riddle56c103$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.32450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2719…0508backed REJECT49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Riddle52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4820840.9%85 W · 123 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Riddle37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635646.4%26 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Riddle15c99.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.982416.7%4 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9309…c705backed Riddle15c99.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.96333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+122.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59cc…b1babacked REJECT59c97.93$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.583647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73dd…d555backed REJECT42c87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.54520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed Riddle51c85$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.655834.5%20 W · 38 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd74…76b9backed Riddle48c84.13$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.573938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea81…ef51backed REJECT58c81.27$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.49633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1966…25c0backed REJECT42c79.14$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2412540.8%51 W · 74 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa072…9c31backed Riddle60c77$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2df…2368backed Riddle54c72.58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.152065%13 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc5…ab06backed REJECT48c71.12$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4440%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed REJECT47c70$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.663652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeadd…4da1backed REJECT50c66.15$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Riddle37c61.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0526730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ee0…56bfbacked Riddle58c55$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick30cpaid+170.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed REJECT27c52.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9934739.8%138 W · 209 L-13.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked REJECT47c51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9733753.1%179 W · 158 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d91…c930backed Riddle55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.521257.1%121 W · 91 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked Riddle50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2518651.1%95 W · 91 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf33…4f09backed REJECT59c47.77$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d43…3576backed REJECT49c47.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.37540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccfa…6be3backed Riddle55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.452035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x817c…fb78backed REJECT43c44.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.12520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-69.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c77…6747backed Riddle48c43.01$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.372630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77eb…7f9bbacked Riddle59c42.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.713571.4%25 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e2b…7fc1backed Riddle72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.672259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34c5…db89backed Riddle51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.615952.8%84 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Riddle53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.87142.3%30 W · 41 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Riddle37c39.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1914436.1%52 W · 92 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2254…bfe0backed Riddle53c39.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16f5…c651backed REJECT56c38.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.63520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-60%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Riddle54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0462856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked REJECT45c36.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4860154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ce7…81a3backed REJECT75c36.19$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.225952.5%31 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5899…330ebacked REJECT58c34.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc579…57bfbacked Riddle58c34.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.272045%9 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed REJECT47c33.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0157517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Riddle53c33.52$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7511248.2%54 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Riddle72c33.45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.58050%40 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee1a…f499backed REJECT69c33.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.031435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-34.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee5c…2775backed Riddle55c31.64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee5e…7f1cbacked REJECT64c31.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-52.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4de8…5dbdbacked Riddle58c31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x152b…9430backed REJECT50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Riddle52c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.962850%14 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca1d…9782backed Riddle57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.324040%16 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6886…2ed8backed Riddle77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.