TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee1a…f499

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Dota2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 57 out of 100; worst Valorant at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT5250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$3.88
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.86
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$6.25
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+140.3%+$16.6
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.53
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15.3
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$11.78
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$21.94
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.47
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$8.31
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.3
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$59.55
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+124.3%+$12.83
LoL: Bohemian Guardians vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonbacked Bohemian Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.27
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$13.71
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$22.77
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.17
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT3764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.79
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+100.6%+$90.41
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.39
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$16.9
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$17.07
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.52
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.61
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.26
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.75
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH - Game 2 Winnerbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$15.96
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 4 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$19.07
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$46.44
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+122.1%+$22.3
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$11.61
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.71
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.92
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.19
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$12.21
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+112.4%+$78.19
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.71
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.2
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.2
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$38.13
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-34.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$9.34
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Valorant: WIP Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffsbacked WIP Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.77
Valorant: MIBR vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.95
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.37
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$12.45
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.43
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.62
Valorant: Mandatory vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.33
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs Mandatory - Map 2 Winnerbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.09
Valorant: Riddle vs REJECT (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 1backed REJECT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.03
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+137.4%+$130.25
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Infinite (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Abacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.79
Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$18.52
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$91.16
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$17.51
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.15
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+38%+$6.13
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$69.12
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$18.18
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.16
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Livesport Prague Open: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.59
Livesport Prague Open: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Oceane Dodinbacked Alisa Oktiabreva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.69
Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs August Holmgrenbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$29.19
Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.18
Croatia Open: Alex Molcan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.11
Savannah: Nick Hardt vs Jack Kennedybacked Jack Kennedy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.18
Rome: Andrea Vavassori vs Maxim Mrvabacked Andrea Vavassori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$15.63
Tallahassee: Daniil Glinka vs Darwin Blanchbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.36
Credit One Charleston Open: Anna Bondar vs Magdalena Frechbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$40.06
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Magic: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24.06
Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+97%+$36.11
Spread: Clippers (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
Spread: Clippers (-9.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.15
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.16
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$77.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$17.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.