TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sentinelsof Evil Geniuses, Sentinels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,391

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,548 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3c3f…75cfbacked Sentinels60c12,426$7,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000.0413651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Evil Geniuses37c4,494$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,664.7268458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sentinels62c3,439$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.3168949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Evil Geniuses38c3,128$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.2965559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7150…0a2bbacked Evil Geniuses41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-73.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Sentinels66c1,297$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.9752155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Evil Geniuses34c1,289$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.4694361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Evil Geniuses40c1,088$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.332047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Evil Geniuses39c933.7$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.8253159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Evil Geniuses49c899.21$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.567934.2%27 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Sentinels62c830.65$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.115162.7%32 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Evil Geniuses35c719.53$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.3229151.5%150 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb29a…bbdebacked Evil Geniuses32c701.36$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.584055%22 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x877e…8c95backed Evil Geniuses29c644.86$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.999142.9%39 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Sentinels59c617$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5133153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Evil Geniuses39c602.34$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.8310455.8%58 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Evil Geniuses44c560.97$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.7926051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Evil Geniuses42c558.09$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.720840.9%85 W · 123 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Sentinels57c553.29$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.6770251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde1d…c645backed Evil Geniuses44c549.73$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.592138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Sentinels59c400.76$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.311861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Evil Geniuses41c396.22$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.458038.8%31 W · 49 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Sentinels68c392.3$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.7940944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Evil Geniuses19c318.9$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7760022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Sentinels59c302.12$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.1162156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Sentinels68c294.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1625752.1%134 W · 123 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Evil Geniuses17c280.28$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.654641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Evil Geniuses48c245.94$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.122045%9 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Sentinels64c234.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.389041.1%37 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Evil Geniuses42c227.69$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.546040%24 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f38…9429backed Evil Geniuses42c207.98$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Sentinels63c197.31$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.315836.2%21 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Sentinels61c192.58$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.45855.2%32 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a4…e8b9backed Evil Geniuses35c191.35$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.291662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Evil Geniuses39c180.28$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1217448.3%84 W · 90 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Evil Geniuses34c175.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7316442.1%69 W · 95 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Evil Geniuses34c173.21$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.611,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Evil Geniuses39c172.92$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4442840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa55…e024backed Sentinels58c168.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.594060%24 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Sentinels67c163$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.791,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Evil Geniuses22c147.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1396245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed Sentinels56c138.69$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.799654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f67…2830backed Evil Geniuses44c130.46$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf80…97ebbacked Sentinels60c127.58$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.031747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Evil Geniuses24c126.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1224032.1%77 W · 163 L-18.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Sentinels59c123.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.846251.6%32 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked Evil Geniuses42c115.71$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.629148.4%44 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed Evil Geniuses45c98.82$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3733346.5%155 W · 178 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe61b…9212backed Sentinels73c98.77$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.881250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed Evil Geniuses46c96.77$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6225555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Evil Geniuses40c90.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.878562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Evil Geniuses43c83.31$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.911844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c3…376abacked Evil Geniuses40c66.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Sentinels59c66.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.116841.2%28 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked Evil Geniuses34c59.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.098634.9%30 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Evil Geniuses42c58.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6857517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4c9f…ab5abacked Evil Geniuses40c58.35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.372564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Evil Geniuses24c57.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7430544.3%135 W · 170 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe56a…2ba5backed Evil Geniuses42c55.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.163930.8%12 W · 27 L-7.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbaa9…b534backed Evil Geniuses45c46.94$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.94825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Sentinels71c42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1866438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Evil Geniuses39c41.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.241952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed Sentinels64c38.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7628151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x719c…9257backed Sentinels65c37.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.18560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0439…5847backed Evil Geniuses45c37.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Evil Geniuses43c36.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4122352.9%118 W · 105 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Sentinels55c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7563652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Sentinels58c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4732261.5%198 W · 124 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked Evil Geniuses34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.27623.7%18 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18c6…8e8fbacked Evil Geniuses36c29.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.673540%14 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Evil Geniuses38c29.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.931637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f21…653cbacked Evil Geniuses48c28.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.824353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Evil Geniuses41c28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.486338.1%24 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9254…7814backed Sentinels70c27.56$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd6…d9f7backed Sentinels58c25.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.86425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Sentinels59c24.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.174548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee1a…f499backed Evil Geniuses45c24.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.891435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-34.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Sentinels59c20.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4626730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cec…618cbacked Sentinels59c18.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.43650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Sentinels60c16.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.673461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.