CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab80636237f7776577dcd5a0d7ecc8d04f6562664b3d88998419d8ef1525ce49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof TheMongolz, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $405,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $487,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 497 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic | 26c | 35,748$9,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,468.35 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed magic | 27c | 33,095$8,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,928.55 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked magic | 24c | 20,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.97 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TheMongolz | 68c | 17,963$12,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,717.37 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked magic | 22c | 12,917$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.97 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked TheMongolz | 78c | 12,859$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.45 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed magic | 22c | 12,500$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750.02 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked TheMongolz | 77c | 11,500$8,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed TheMongolz | 79c | 10,903$8,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.89 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked magic | 38c | 10,237$3,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,932.4 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked TheMongolz | 73c | 10,059$7,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.44 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed TheMongolz | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.99 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4454…a3cfbacked TheMongolz | 77c | 9,478$7,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed magic | 29c | 9,092$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,636.66 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked TheMongolz | 72c | 7,258$5,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.11 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed TheMongolz | 76c | 7,171$5,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.05 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked TheMongolz | 75c | 6,700$5,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked TheMongolz | 78c | 6,305$4,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.9 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked TheMongolz | 73c | 5,927$4,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.29 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked magic | 48c | 5,514$2,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,632.94 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed magic | 29c | 5,513$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.25 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed magic | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed TheMongolz | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.99 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed magic | 24c | 4,368$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.22 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TheMongolz | 51c | 4,019$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.25 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked magic | 23c | 3,960$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.51 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked magic | 23c | 3,948$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.82 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TheMongolz | 65c | 3,905$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.24 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…74adbacked TheMongolz | 73c | 3,880$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.6 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed magic | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked magic | 43c | 3,410$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked TheMongolz | 70c | 3,331$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.7 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77cc…3045backed TheMongolz | 75c | 3,247$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed TheMongolz | 71c | 3,192$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.72 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed magic | 17c | 3,014$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.36 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed magic | 50c | 2,993$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.68 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed TheMongolz | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.9 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked TheMongolz | 64c | 2,800$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.3 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e171backed TheMongolz | 71c | 2,799$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.84 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked magic | 24c | 2,712$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.79 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed magic | 27c | 2,656$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.53 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked TheMongolz | 77c | 2,572$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.62 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked TheMongolz | 73c | 2,513$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.51 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed TheMongolz | 75c | 2,500$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed TheMongolz | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked TheMongolz | 79c | 2,497$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.82 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed TheMongolz | 77c | 2,397$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.66 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d449backed TheMongolz | 72c | 2,200$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed magic | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked magic | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed TheMongolz | 76c | 1,967$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.03 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed TheMongolz | 73c | 1,900$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…500fbacked TheMongolz | 75c | 1,817$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +310.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked TheMongolz | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.1 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed magic | 25c | 1,779$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed TheMongolz | 75c | 1,727$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.65 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed magic | 29c | 1,725$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.25 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…c4bfbacked TheMongolz | 72c | 1,719$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed magic | 23c | 1,700$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.55 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed TheMongolz | 77c | 1,684$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.14 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…9e0ebacked magic | 50c | 1,638$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.7 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked magic | 21c | 1,596$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.43 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed TheMongolz | 80c | 1,546$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.42 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed magic | 26c | 1,545$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.73 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed magic | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed magic | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.99 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed magic | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.99 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed magic | 28c | 1,440$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.2 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked magic | 25c | 1,400$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 132 | 34.8%46 W · 86 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked magic | 22c | 1,389$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.58 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb38…eb04backed TheMongolz | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed TheMongolz | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed magic | 51c | 1,360$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aba…ebd6backed TheMongolz | 77c | 1,340$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed magic | 25c | 1,336$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.15 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…e933backed TheMongolz | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.73 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbc…a37bbacked TheMongolz | 74c | 1,315$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.59 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TheMongolz | 79c | 1,296$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.33 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz | 57c | 1,277$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked TheMongolz | 64c | 1,275$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.92 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbba…c191backed TheMongolz | 71c | 1,248$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.88 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23c…07cebacked TheMongolz | 72c | 1,207$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed TheMongolz | 75c | 1,200$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed magic | 24c | 1,099$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.69 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed magic | 24c | 1,093$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.37 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed magic | 22c | 1,071$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.71 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed TheMongolz | 68c | 1,067$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.2 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked magic | 24c | 1,065$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.19 | 389 | 41.9%163 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d28…6d7abacked magic | 41c | 1,044$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.56 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked TheMongolz | 75c | 1,040$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.16 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed magic | 25c | 1,023$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.75 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…e152backed TheMongolz | 71c | 1,023$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 72cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked magic | 31c | 1,019$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.33 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed magic | 28c | 1,007$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.05 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked magic | 23c | 1,004$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.92 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed TheMongolz | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed TheMongolz | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ee…e28cbacked TheMongolz | 72c | 999.99$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked TheMongolz | 72c | 999.98$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed magic | 27c | 999.95$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.