CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61445a36498e1d59f9defe5f63b560540f1d18abb2c58706f5c9e8c3fd7729dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 3,224$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.25 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 29c | 2,402$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.87 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 43c | 2,054$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.12 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 34c | 1,511$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.3 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Over | 44c | 1,199$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.03 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 56c | 711.19$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.92 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 56c | 499.33$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.71 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 57c | 458.33$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.08 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e62…9121backed Under | 56c | 359.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 224 | 44.2%99 W · 125 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 43c | 350.88$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.88 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 64c | 333.78$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.79 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 62c | 320.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.26 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 15c | 268.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…3cc3backed Under | 57c | 258$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.94 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 58c | 249.98$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…232abacked Under | 64c | 249.97$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Under | 50c | 221.49$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.75 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 37c | 199.47$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…80f7backed Under | 41c | 190$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 70c | 186.57$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 9c | 186.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 63c | 181.27$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9513…1f70backed Under | 39c | 162.59$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 59c | 161.39$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.53 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 58c | 135.13$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 64c | 129.81$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Over | 40c | 124.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 43c | 115.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 66c | 109.1$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 67c | 102.49$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…0927backed Under | 57c | 100.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 41 | 82.9%34 W · 7 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 57c | 96.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Over | 38c | 80.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 37c | 69.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Under | 58c | 68.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 34c | 67.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 56c | 62.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked Over | 50c | 45.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Over | 36c | 41.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Under | 57c | 41.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…e862backed Under | 72c | 40.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 34c | 37.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 36c | 31.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Under | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 213 | 43.7%93 W · 120 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Under | 65c | 27.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Over | 40c | 26.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Under | 50c | 24.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 69c | 14.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.