TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Detroit Tigersof Athletics, Detroit Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$760,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$884,316

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $760,987 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Athletics44c368,652$162,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162,206.891,41449.5%700 W · 714 L-4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Detroit Tigers56c218,977$122,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,349.8844446.8%208 W · 236 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b21…a230backed Detroit Tigers56c100,000$56,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,999.994148.8%20 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd943…3974backed Detroit Tigers64c25,265$16,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,095.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers56c23,215$12,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,328.763,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Athletics45c20,405$9,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,171.398349.8%490 W · 493 L-18.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Athletics29c19,968$5,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,837.3210,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Detroit Tigers56c18,029$10,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,972.521,52751.1%780 W · 747 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics45c17,282$7,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7771,68150.1%842 W · 839 L-22.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Athletics43c11,859$5,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.1850553.5%270 W · 235 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Athletics24c9,436$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,262.491,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Athletics42c9,300$3,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,87311952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5031…1ffbbacked Detroit Tigers56c9,230$5,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,061.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Detroit Tigers62c8,567$5,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,249.4811947.9%57 W · 62 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Detroit Tigers56c8,471$4,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,727.1373650.7%373 W · 363 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8201…8a41backed Detroit Tigers56c8,060$4,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,541.594247.6%20 W · 22 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-27.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Athletics19c7,589$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.1797044.9%436 W · 534 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Athletics36c7,554$2,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,705.7711,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Athletics10c7,505$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.412,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Detroit Tigers56c7,076$3,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,109.536844.1%30 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Detroit Tigers56c6,964$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.1675248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Athletics44c6,667$2,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,933.4816747.9%80 W · 87 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Detroit Tigers56c5,777$3,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,520.014,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Detroit Tigers70c5,568$3,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.563,04148%1,461 W · 1,580 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Detroit Tigers57c5,509$3,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,369.182,31052.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Detroit Tigers56c5,357$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.1461351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Detroit Tigers57c5,218$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,217.7922257.2%127 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers57c5,035$2,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.465,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Athletics1c4,570$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2714924.2%36 W · 113 L-0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…5806backed Detroit Tigers73c4,085$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.563066.7%20 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Athletics44c3,640$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.61,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Athletics42c3,305$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.1988349.3%435 W · 448 L-4.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Athletics45c2,900$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30518241.2%75 W · 107 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked Detroit Tigers70c2,611$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.310031%31 W · 69 L-14.0wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-35%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Detroit Tigers56c2,455$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.3613561.5%83 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Athletics42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005036%18 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Detroit Tigers70c2,292$1,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.934,08757.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L+66.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Detroit Tigers55c2,200$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9906747.8%32 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Detroit Tigers56c2,048$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.122,31151%1,179 W · 1,132 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Athletics40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80024739.3%97 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Athletics41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82024651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Detroit Tigers56c1,704$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.7657753.2%307 W · 270 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x835c…a5eebacked Detroit Tigers57c1,700$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7312147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Detroit Tigers61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.3423457.7%135 W · 99 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Athletics2c1,586$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Athletics44c1,543$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.9952045.2%235 W · 285 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x573a…dcbfbacked Athletics1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1590%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Athletics41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61587453%463 W · 411 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8966…3476backed Athletics1c1,500$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Athletics44c1,499$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.562,37547.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Detroit Tigers62c1,454$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.9335056%196 W · 154 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers80c1,445$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.598,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Athletics29c1,327$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.291,13942.7%486 W · 653 L+11.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Athletics41c1,228$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.5336648.9%179 W · 187 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Detroit Tigers58c1,215$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.286,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x42ab…0d2dbacked Detroit Tigers56c1,202$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.7911454.4%62 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Detroit Tigers56c1,170$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.421,63549.3%806 W · 829 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Detroit Tigers57c1,126$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.4845253.8%243 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Athletics45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011446.5%53 W · 61 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Detroit Tigers60c1,111$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.4529649.7%147 W · 149 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa689…15fcbacked Detroit Tigers58c1,092$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.8324346.9%114 W · 129 L-1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Detroit Tigers62c1,054$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.5782042.6%349 W · 471 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5400…8a89backed Athletics3c1,038$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30681.5%1 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-81.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Detroit Tigers57c999.99$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4302045%9 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Athletics29c999.88$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.741,85544%817 W · 1,038 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Athletics1c988.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5313649.3%67 W · 69 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+68.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Detroit Tigers59c920$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.27154.9%39 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9544…826ebacked Athletics45c888.89$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005054%27 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Detroit Tigers60c819.62$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.851,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Athletics45c668.32$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.4757053.3%304 W · 266 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Athletics42c610$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2561,41843.4%616 W · 802 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8678…6199backed Detroit Tigers57c609.09$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.914252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Detroit Tigers56c569$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.361,52059.1%899 W · 621 L+78.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5a3…5b70backed Athletics5c519.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.83023.3%7 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-54.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8443…2988backed Detroit Tigers57c517.54$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.546142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Detroit Tigers57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2151,21953.9%657 W · 562 L+32.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Detroit Tigers55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22531847.5%151 W · 167 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Detroit Tigers59c499.97$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9971253.4%380 W · 332 L+12.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Detroit Tigers56c479.5$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.982,32949.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Athletics44c446$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.2445545.7%208 W · 247 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce00…7d1dbacked Detroit Tigers57c438.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.618252.2%95 W · 87 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Detroit Tigers57c438.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.628851%147 W · 141 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Athletics43c421.68$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18038453.9%207 W · 177 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Athletics44c420$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.81,32644%583 W · 743 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked Detroit Tigers63c413.67$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.0915751.6%81 W · 76 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Detroit Tigers75c406.73$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7381657.1%466 W · 350 L-2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Detroit Tigers56c406.4$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.641,84849.6%917 W · 931 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Detroit Tigers56c401.79$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.7954654.9%300 W · 246 L+12.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff68…8379backed Athletics9c384.66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3426940.5%109 W · 160 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb758…4699backed Athletics44c374.3$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.694045%18 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed Athletics43c370$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.61,22143.4%530 W · 691 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Detroit Tigers55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6464752.4%339 W · 308 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Athletics32c360$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.195555.2%527 W · 428 L+30.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac6…a8cebacked Detroit Tigers57c355.23$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.238241.5%34 W · 48 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1b5…7e9abacked Detroit Tigers57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.886946.4%32 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3129…22edbacked Detroit Tigers57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8812746.5%59 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x898c…b48fbacked Athletics44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Athletics43c330$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.81,29343.5%562 W · 731 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Detroit Tigers74c305$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3980159.2%474 W · 327 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Detroit Tigers56c302.47$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.4721146.4%98 W · 113 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.