MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x072153d1227dde8964ce7886d255cad92a1b88e088af496f6bd6cde92e24bf7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Athletics | 61c | 70,000$42,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,636.95 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Detroit Tigers | 47c | 42,378$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,378.32 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 50c | 24,087$11,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,925.09 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 19,897$7,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,137.17 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 10,000$5,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,819.91 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 8,041$3,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,865.04 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 6,222$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,795.66 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Athletics | 53c | 6,127$3,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,265.47 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 4,870$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,789.29 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Athletics | 59c | 1,779$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.88 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 1,609$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.55 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 1,285$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.61 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 1,265$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.12 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 1,215$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.29 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Detroit Tigers | 77c | 1,134$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.11 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 1,024$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.4 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 968.95$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.06 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletics | 49c | 913.09$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.79 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 777.5$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.36 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 764.98$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.52 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Athletics | 30c | 517.83$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.78 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Detroit Tigers | 43c | 418.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.6 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 375$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.75 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee2…e88fbacked Athletics | 60c | 320.1$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.06 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 59c | 316.27$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.8 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 314$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.26 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…f08abacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbf…39e1backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 239.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Athletics | 49c | 236.12$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 220.84$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.71 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Athletics | 6c | 214$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 200.7$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.81 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Athletics | 59c | 199.02$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.42 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 182.66$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.01 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 128.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 127$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 127$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Athletics | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 119.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Athletics | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 77.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 73.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 67.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 62.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 56.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…62bebacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 51.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29f…dc4ebacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 50.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Athletics | 59c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 40.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Athletics | 51c | 39.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0098…71e0backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 39.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 286 | 39.2%112 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Athletics | 50c | 31.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Athletics | 39c | 27.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 167 | 34.7%58 W · 109 L | -17.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Athletics | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Athletics | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Athletics vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-5.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.