MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20fc6f91b9776bd53288b6b8a0f739fcfcedf8061d639492c7495626c7d5ee2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 45c | 13,626$6,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,066.73 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 56c | 13,265$7,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,869.46 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 2,602$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.27 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 45c | 2,230$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.78 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 54c | 1,104$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.38 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 55c | 1,024$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.8 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 46c | 978.04$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.76 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 56c | 916$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.47 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 909.7$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.52 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Over | 48c | 852.58$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.24 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 51c | 557$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.41 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 46c | 532.13$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.78 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Under | 59c | 476.98$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.56 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 44c | 457.35$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.42 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfafe…c1c9backed Over | 47c | 403.51$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 69c | 264$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.32 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 64c | 220.13$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.25 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 219.37$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.63 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 52c | 199$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.48 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 60c | 164.66$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb80c…6d0abacked Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 47c | 129$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c85…9634backed Over | 45c | 125.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 52c | 117.04$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Under | 52c | 112.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 45c | 111.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 47c | 110.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Under | 46c | 108$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 107.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Over | 47c | 105.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697a…4024backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92a…a51cbacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 46c | 85.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc28…ede2backed Under | 52c | 84.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 59c | 78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 44c | 76.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 55c | 74.89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Over | 41c | 72.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Under | 54c | 68.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…62bebacked Over | 46c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Over | 42c | 59.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 56c | 56.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 55c | 55.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 56c | 54.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 55c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0297…e67fbacked Under | 63c | 47.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 46c | 44.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 39c | 40.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 36c | 38.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 52c | 34.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…0f1abacked Over | 47c | 31.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Under | 55c | 28.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…2deebacked Under | 54c | 27.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 179 | 52%93 W · 86 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Over | 47c | 24.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 59c | 24.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Under | 60c | 18.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Under | 62c | 17.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5this page
- Athletics vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-5.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.