MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6d6e91fd901623aa7e0f7b0c93f8bb7f580fc00d5e59f7c34b57e368853a338
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 56c | 21,000$11,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,677.11 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 5,182$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.68 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 3,128$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.08 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Under | 51c | 2,019$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.37 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 45c | 1,962$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.49 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 1,832$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.87 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 55c | 1,820$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.8 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 46c | 1,804$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.35 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 45c | 1,337$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.35 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 1,288$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 45c | 1,250$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.46 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 47c | 1,055$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.15 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Under | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.35 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 54c | 933.11$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.88 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 45c | 658.61$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.14 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 60c | 555.18$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.11 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 38c | 494$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.72 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 75c | 420.08$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.77 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 48c | 331.42$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 47c | 306.38$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.38 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 50c | 304.81$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.41 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Under | 52c | 235.38$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.98 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 62c | 202.68$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.81 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 57c | 175.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 37c | 136.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.61 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 43c | 135.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.32 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Under | 36c | 131$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.84 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 44c | 124.59$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 39c | 118.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.82 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed Under | 41c | 117.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 63c | 108.47$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 37c | 102.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 41c | 102.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 59c | 101.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 57c | 100.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 42c | 99.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.71 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 61c | 97.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 44c | 89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 44c | 86.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 50c | 76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 73.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 53c | 70.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 44c | 66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 44c | 63.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 44c | 62.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 61.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 48c | 52.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b1…4625backed Under | 45c | 50.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 45c | 47.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 42c | 46.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 49c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c85…9634backed Over | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x887f…7289backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 45c | 33.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 43c | 31.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 36c | 28.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Over | 49c | 27.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…62bebacked Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Under | 42c | 24.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Under | 52c | 23.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Under | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 58c | 20.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5this page
- Athletics vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-5.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.