NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d53b84bbd16f2f7d7bc66cd3bd0dcb8e67fd638eb5b885b499a083bc8c1ae49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Clippers, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,272,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,282,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,272,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 440 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pacers | 52c | 409,000$211,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197,809.81 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Clippers | 49c | 359,268$176,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176,041.11 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Clippers | 48c | 169,773$81,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,450.39 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pacers | 51c | 150,853$76,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,917.73 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Pacers | 51c | 150,000$76,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,500 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pacers | 51c | 131,825$67,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,122.13 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Clippers | 49c | 102,375$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Clippers | 48c | 85,000$40,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,799.81 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Pacers | 55c | 46,234$25,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,019.9 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Clippers | 48c | 37,767$18,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,199.36 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Clippers | 49c | 33,477$16,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,420 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Pacers | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Clippers | 49c | 25,005$12,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,252.43 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers | 52c | 23,587$12,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,273.44 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Pacers | 51c | 19,000$9,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,219.96 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Clippers | 15c | 18,860$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.69 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pacers | 51c | 16,461$8,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,123.14 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Clippers | 49c | 16,029$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…2005backed Clippers | 49c | 13,685$6,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,705.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Clippers | 48c | 13,236$6,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,353.28 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…ea3cbacked Clippers | 49c | 12,225$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Clippers | 49c | 12,000$5,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,860 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Clippers | 49c | 11,037$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Clippers | 49c | 10,924$5,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,326.83 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…5596backed Clippers | 49c | 10,286$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -72%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Clippers | 49c | 9,999$4,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,926 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Clippers | 20c | 9,374$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.23 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Pacers | 51c | 9,276$4,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,508.01 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Clippers | 48c | 8,693$4,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,172.81 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pacers | 52c | 8,316$4,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,991.75 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Clippers | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Clippers | 49c | 7,694$3,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,770 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Clippers | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Clippers | 49c | 6,837$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Pacers | 62c | 6,706$4,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,553.11 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers | 53c | 6,567$3,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086.49 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Pacers | 51c | 6,405$3,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,138.27 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…5f15backed Clippers | 49c | 6,327$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…37c7backed Pacers | 51c | 6,147$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,012.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Clippers | 48c | 5,917$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840.05 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf96…5156backed Clippers | 49c | 5,887$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…4c87backed Clippers | 49c | 5,887$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pacers | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Clippers | 48c | 5,720$2,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.6 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76e0…a0ccbacked Clippers | 49c | 5,554$2,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ec…5231backed Clippers | 49c | 5,510$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…45dfbacked Clippers | 49c | 5,510$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Clippers | 49c | 5,082$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.24 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Clippers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Clippers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Clippers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.84 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Clippers | 48c | 4,792$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Pacers | 79c | 4,760$3,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.66 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers | 48c | 4,629$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.55 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Clippers | 44c | 4,592$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Pacers | 51c | 4,567$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.86 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers | 48c | 4,466$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.29 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…6d85backed Clippers | 48c | 4,138$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Pacers | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Pacers | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Clippers | 48c | 3,845$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.77 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05eb…f59cbacked Clippers | 49c | 3,526$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Clippers | 50c | 3,485$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.57 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Clippers | 48c | 3,266$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.58 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 76c | 2,964$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Clippers | 48c | 2,791$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.85 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e3…4876backed Clippers | 49c | 2,761$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…5d15backed Clippers | 49c | 2,761$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Pacers | 52c | 2,485$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.62 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Pacers | 51c | 2,345$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.05 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb94d…0c7ebacked Pacers | 51c | 2,306$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Clippers | 48c | 2,247$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.56 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Clippers | 52c | 2,127$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Clippers | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Pacers | 51c | 2,078$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.38 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Pacers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Pacers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Pacers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers | 48c | 1,949$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.52 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers | 49c | 1,838$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.62 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Clippers | 7c | 1,786$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pacers | 51c | 1,737$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.29 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Clippers | 49c | 1,700$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Pacers | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.46 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Clippers | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.96 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pacers | 57c | 1,435$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.23 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Pacers | 52c | 1,432$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.83 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Clippers | 50c | 1,413$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.57 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74b6…9823backed Clippers | 48c | 1,371$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.11 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Clippers | 50c | 1,331$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.58 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Clippers | 48c | 1,290$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.18 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Clippers | 49c | 1,228$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.83 | 221 | 48%106 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Clippers | 50c | 1,139$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.55 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Clippers | 48c | 1,123$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.04 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Pacers | 52c | 1,040$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.2 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Clippers | 49c | 1,030$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.7 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…3ac5backed Clippers | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Pacers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Clippers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Pacers | 52c | 999.97$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Pacers won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Pacers won
- Clippers vs. PacersClippers won
- Clippers vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Clippers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 244.5Under won
- Darius Garland: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jarace Walker: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Clippers (-10.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-1.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pacers (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pacers (-5.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pacers (-6.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.