TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 238.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$384,411
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$388,120

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $384,411 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcb6e…48e6backed Over50c50,000$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0002661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c49,536$24,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,685.824,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c25,000$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,5001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00016640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3352…863bbacked Under50c7,653$3,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,826.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef10…b257backed Under50c7,582$3,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7913100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa54…ed58backed Over50c7,297$3,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,648.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1254…8e9abacked Under50c7,280$3,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6403100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3b6…ef6dbacked Over50c7,100$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,550366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f3…d624backed Over50c6,986$3,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,493.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4550…7763backed Over50c6,869$3,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,434.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a98…03cdbacked Under50c6,842$3,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4213100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e53…5bbabacked Over50c6,727$3,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,363.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b5…9273backed Under50c6,710$3,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3553100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x475f…3cc3backed Under50c6,516$3,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2583100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20dd…a760backed Over50c6,438$3,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,219366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28b2…0d59backed Over50c6,396$3,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,198366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b1…672ebacked Over50c6,208$3,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,104366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61c1…b13cbacked Under50c6,171$3,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,085.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5988…ed42backed Under50c6,116$3,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0583100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc902…90b7backed Over50c6,080$3,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,040366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe883…5708backed Under50c5,790$2,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8953100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x71e2…2384backed Over50c5,761$2,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,880.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafad…b9c6backed Over50c5,679$2,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,839.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ec…de94backed Under50c5,464$2,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7323100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under50c5,346$2,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,67331643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba70…0240backed Under50c5,326$2,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6633100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8649…087abacked Over50c5,305$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under51c4,908$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,407.6934854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa75a…3006backed Over50c4,820$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,410366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b16…3271backed Under50c4,756$2,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3783100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x221f…1f38backed Under50c4,571$2,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,285.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43fd…4581backed Under50c4,433$2,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55e4…c3c6backed Over56c4,381$2,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,471.274443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff79…f081backed Under50c4,349$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,174.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8157…6361backed Over50c4,344$2,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,172366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c8b…c6eabacked Over50c4,055$2,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,027.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4e5…0811backed Over50c4,044$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under50c4,024$2,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,01249246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1338…cc6cbacked Over50c3,928$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f19…8938backed Over50c3,897$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b9…6312backed Under52c3,874$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.977236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x386e…0039backed Under50c3,275$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0fd…5165backed Under50c3,227$1,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d88…5b79backed Under50c3,128$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5644100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b6d…af8bbacked Over50c2,999$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd437…844bbacked Under50c2,987$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa74c…0905backed Under50c2,962$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4812100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb35…1ba6backed Over50c2,939$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee7c…404fbacked Over50c2,926$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,46310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f0…7474backed Under50c2,878$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec2d…bdf1backed Over50c2,831$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa0e…4bf9backed Over50c2,818$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf67…0150backed Over50c2,800$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce29…253bbacked Over50c2,799$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c2,797$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.534,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac9f…c462backed Over50c2,771$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa70a…fd4fbacked Over50c2,770$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5526…421cbacked Under50c2,747$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0993…a719backed Under50c2,723$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb51b…91f3backed Under50c2,723$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ffd…7410backed Under50c2,719$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f8c…75a8backed Under50c2,682$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6aa…6f88backed Under50c2,633$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f90…0e83backed Under50c2,629$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x563a…59e6backed Over50c2,623$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe45…129cbacked Under50c2,620$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36cc…fc11backed Under50c2,604$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3024100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa716…ae3fbacked Under50c2,567$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd6f…52f0backed Under50c2,566$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2832100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedff…96a8backed Under50c2,543$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83e8…01aabacked Under50c2,529$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2536…1daebacked Under50c2,510$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…f576backed Over50c2,490$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e95…4738backed Under50c2,479$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c62…a75dbacked Under50c2,465$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc64d…8d0dbacked Over50c2,459$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x427f…7a3ebacked Under50c2,457$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf35d…bd81backed Over50c2,447$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f5…c7b9backed Over50c2,405$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe87d…11e7backed Over50c2,400$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36ac…a18ebacked Over50c2,379$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbadc…b94ebacked Over50c2,367$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…2052backed Over50c2,363$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27d0…2379backed Over50c2,311$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8c…d0b5backed Over50c2,308$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc41e…de12backed Under50c2,299$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39b5…4566backed Under50c2,288$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Under54c2,277$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.0610651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x252e…e8d2backed Over50c2,270$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b6…59bcbacked Under50c2,262$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b32…5a43backed Over50c2,235$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6245…8b1cbacked Under50c2,233$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53af…fe79backed Under50c2,218$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.312100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x051c…0a60backed Over50c2,212$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b3…0875backed Over50c2,198$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a65…87f1backed Over50c2,186$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c5…3437backed Under50c2,184$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02e4…a9aebacked Over50c2,184$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0017…3523backed Under50c2,183$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.