TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

1H Spread: Clippers (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Pacersof Clippers, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,251
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,756

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,251 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33dd…ef8abacked Pacers53c6,000$3,180 inWon+$2,82013954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Clippers47c2,615$1,229 inLost-$1,229.0537747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Clippers47c2,112$1,000 inLost-$1,00016640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Clippers47c1,040$489 inLost-$488.811241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pacers50c950.06$479 inWon+$470.952,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Clippers50c886.68$443 inLost-$443.3417047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Pacers50c710$355 inWon+$35514245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Clippers50c616.35$308 inLost-$308.095,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pacers50c597.95$299 inWon+$298.984,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Pacers53c497.28$265 inWon+$232.58657%49 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Clippers50c474$237 inLost-$23728838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Clippers49c408.16$200 inLost-$20057444.1%253 W · 321 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Pacers49c246.17$121 inWon+$125.551,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf47d…2834backed Clippers50c172.1$86 inLost-$86.051711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-44.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Clippers51c144.59$74 inLost-$73.5426043.8%114 W · 146 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Clippers47c128$60 inLost-$60.1614844.6%66 W · 82 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Clippers47c106.38$50 inLost-$5093145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Clippers50c96.4$48 inLost-$485855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Clippers47c85$40 inLost-$39.9562049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Clippers47c64$30 inLost-$30.0832747.4%155 W · 172 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Clippers47c64$30 inLost-$30.0827345.1%123 W · 150 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Clippers47c64$30 inLost-$30.0832947.4%156 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Pacers50c60$30 inWon+$3030256.6%171 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Clippers50c40$20 inLost-$2037845%170 W · 208 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Pacers50c40$20 inWon+$2032654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Clippers47c40$19 inLost-$18.814443.1%62 W · 82 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Pacers50c28.89$14 inWon+$14.4592058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1fc…7cc1backed Pacers51c20$10 inWon+$9.814471.5%103 W · 41 L+22.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Pacers53c20$11 inWon+$9.432957.4%189 W · 140 L+18.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.