TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Clippers, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,555
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,020

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,555 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers54c6,115$3,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.214,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Pacers55c6,080$3,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,736.195658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Clippers46c5,137$2,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,362.987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Clippers15c5,064$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.272,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Pacers56c3,988$2,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.428756.3%49 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Pacers55c2,862$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.871,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Clippers45c2,137$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.0245151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Pacers62c1,830$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.631,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers44c1,813$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.634,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Clippers45c1,780$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.1887049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Clippers13c1,252$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.0452230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Clippers44c1,185$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.3227645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd90f…b6dabacked Pacers56c1,102$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.793551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers43c1,039$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.876,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Pacers57c591.02$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.1414248.6%69 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Clippers45c583.11$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.875639.3%22 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f82…9b01backed Clippers46c574.5$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.2716635.5%59 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Pacers56c540.52$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.5222159.7%132 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf96…5156backed Clippers44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Pacers54c461.5$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.2738947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Clippers45c458.12$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.34434.1%15 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Pacers54c454.56$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.157950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pacers54c416.08$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.43,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pacers55c415$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.751,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Pacers55c370.61$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.7729055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Pacers56c357.04$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.176250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers55c335.19$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.614,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Clippers45c324.59$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2458450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Clippers15c318.23$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.043,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Clippers46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13838740.3%156 W · 231 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Clippers45c266.09$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12024849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pacers54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1155,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Pacers57c247.64$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.210748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c61…db4bbacked Pacers67c237.06$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.111464.3%9 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Pacers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9021653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Pacers56c179.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6417944.1%79 W · 100 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Clippers43c178.9$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9329344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e73…464fbacked Pacers56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Pacers56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5725657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Clippers45c166.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7513541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Clippers45c159.38$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7256447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Clippers46c156.52$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7213441%55 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Clippers45c156$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.256547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Clippers45c156$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.245646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x333f…4da2backed Clippers46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6914738.8%57 W · 90 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Pacers68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.261957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Pacers55c129.93$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4790957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Clippers40c129.7$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.031,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Clippers45c127.96$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5841449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Clippers16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8f…1b4fbacked Clippers16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Clippers16c122$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5227138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Pacers77c112.93$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7665630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pacers54c110.48$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.872,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Pacers52c110$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5333030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Clippers47c100.53$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2553453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pacers55c100.01$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24cb…1f0cbacked Pacers56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid+27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fb9…afbbbacked Pacers56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444250%21 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d50…436fbacked Pacers56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445048%24 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Pacers56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446454.7%35 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Pacers55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x708a…aadabacked Pacers56c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f6f…5284backed Pacers56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Pacers56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2961056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ce…3280backed Pacers56c89.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.261546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Pacers55c82.22$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3796956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Pacers54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.822942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Pacers68c76.31$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.721,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Pacers76c71.02$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8862047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaed5…981dbacked Pacers57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.188555.3%47 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Pacers54c64.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8181349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebb…405abacked Pacers56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.56464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Pacers56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.525752.5%135 W · 122 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Clippers44c60.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7155347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01dc…183ebacked Clippers44c59.6$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.226734.3%23 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Clippers44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2560945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x391c…ea3fbacked Pacers56c55.36$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.364645.7%21 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Pacers55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5593145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfed…096dbacked Pacers55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.551338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0922…d953backed Clippers46c54.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.733056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc08…267abacked Pacers56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.577948.1%38 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Clippers46c50.85$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.399553.7%51 W · 44 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Clippers43c49.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.353339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Pacers50c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.580440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Pacers56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6412541.6%52 W · 73 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x65fc…c072backed Pacers57c44.11$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.113850%19 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04c…c640backed Clippers46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f7…ada9backed Pacers57c42.11$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1111659.5%69 W · 47 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Clippers46c40.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5927251.1%139 W · 133 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Pacers52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.245544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdd6…24c5backed Clippers45c37.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.852040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Clippers35c36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.690357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d0…ad4dbacked Pacers56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf4f…63f3backed Pacers56c35.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5622746.3%105 W · 122 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff0b…befabacked Pacers57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.094953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x143c…88b9backed Pacers57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.092552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Clippers44c34.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.271,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xea34…8efcbacked Pacers55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.516551.5%85 W · 80 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.