TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$154,363
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,545

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,363 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Over50c90,945$45,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,253.761,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under50c83,170$41,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,584.843148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under51c29,271$14,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,342.71,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over49c28,633$14,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,030.1729351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4001,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over51c4,902$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Under52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92013954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under52c3,890$2,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,867.22,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ba…1e32backed Under48c3,846$1,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.99450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7feb…9383backed Over52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec8…262abacked Over54c2,701$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebcd…cc5dbacked Under46c2,384$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under52c2,100$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00822948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f08…ad31backed Under46c1,830$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c6f…0351backed Over54c1,513$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Over48c1,469$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70018842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over50c1,458$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72956843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c1,324$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.034,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c1,306$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.334,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c1,118$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.174,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over51c868.42$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4413,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under52c700$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33665762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30014251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under53c490.55$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.5692058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over49c472.07$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.6147436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over46c453.55$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6338947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661f…098abacked Under47c330.26$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.045655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under48c293.46$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.4649246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under48c251.33$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6417250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under54c225.18$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5889853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x798c…5a89backed Over52c191.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd4f…fc0ebacked Under48c188$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x362a…f541backed Over52c171.34$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.71154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under49c170.4$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2558450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under47c170.28$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf81…7628backed Under48c168.25$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7847…10e9backed Over52c164.44$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under52c160$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.842853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over48c157$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3629352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4523…eb4fbacked Under47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4524849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3449…abdfbacked Over54c118.08$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.762437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4895260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x891f…f851backed Over51c89.88$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.843732.4%12 W · 25 L-6.5wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-35.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under50c80.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.146255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Over53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.437253.5%199 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Under47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.422942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c75.8$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.146,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x061e…81e0backed Over54c74.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019849%97 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfed…096dbacked Under47c73.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.091338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under46c71.08$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3881349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c67.54$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.472,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c03…d9eebacked Over53c67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5140%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over36c65.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.82,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c60.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.261,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0148…b61cbacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9912658.7%74 W · 52 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Under53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.230256.6%171 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under52c58.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.011,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd86…b634backed Over50c58.34$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.174240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under48c57.04$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8510748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under45c55.75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.883,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under47c53.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3296956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf93e…96eabacked Under52c52.06$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9912949.6%64 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over50c50.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1962047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d7…d33ebacked Over53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Over59c49.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2918242.9%78 W · 104 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c46.4$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.078,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Over48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.214443.1%62 W · 82 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39d…a06dbacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a0e…f499backed Over52c37.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under49c37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8732752.9%173 W · 154 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under51c34.72$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.011,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbea4…0388backed Over53c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.49520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-66.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Under47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.925143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x993b…ecfbbacked Under46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.267142.3%30 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb7…d873backed Over54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.212245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x266d…00b7backed Under53c26.34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Over53c24.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under47c22.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1521653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cdf…31e7backed Under54c22.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4214054.3%76 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ac3…8fb0backed Under54c20.48$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.422065%13 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Over53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.66734.3%23 W · 44 L-9.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd650…8d74backed Over70c19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.38571.8%61 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.