TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tundra Esportsof Team Yandex, Tundra Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$639,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$779,974

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $639,617 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 451 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex48c77,202$36,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,983.0754556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Yandex53c68,833$36,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,481.5628748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports47c40,000$18,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,199.9955157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Tundra Esports49c27,405$13,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,075.4612560%75 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x554b…8216backed Team Yandex53c19,716$10,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,352.12728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-49.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed Tundra Esports50c18,606$9,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,302.976852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Team Yandex52c17,222$8,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,949.9120156.7%114 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Tundra Esports46c15,000$6,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,035.6433746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Tundra Esports46c10,775$4,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,818.742650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Tundra Esports50c10,535$5,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,271.419153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Tundra Esports50c10,020$5,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,010.1336041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Tundra Esports50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00022954.1%124 W · 105 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2698…0958backed Team Yandex54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.9813441.8%56 W · 78 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd604…ee57backed Tundra Esports36c9,776$3,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,297.342142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Tundra Esports49c9,700$4,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9474658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Tundra Esports49c9,000$4,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,589.9922643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba4a…9fa6backed Team Yandex55c8,800$4,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8283857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex42c8,256$3,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,433.6148954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Team Yandex49c8,000$3,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,94088539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Tundra Esports48c7,777$3,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,044.0432854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Tundra Esports54c7,119$3,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,272.8553451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Tundra Esports52c5,907$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,806.9422842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports53c5,078$2,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.641,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Tundra Esports50c4,776$2,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.7422647.3%107 W · 119 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports43c4,588$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,612.941,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Tundra Esports43c4,500$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,554.5880256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed Tundra Esports59c4,063$2,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.243666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9273…fcf8backed Team Yandex50c4,030$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.991442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d3f…ab65backed Team Yandex55c4,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.969749.5%48 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Tundra Esports61c3,905$2,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.928749.4%43 W · 44 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f78…b642backed Team Yandex2c3,780$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.95825.9%15 W · 43 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tundra Esports50c3,624$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,794.360542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe438…e80cbacked Team Yandex7c3,310$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.45910.2%6 W · 53 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-69.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Tundra Esports47c3,032$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.438251.2%42 W · 40 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Tundra Esports50c3,029$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.4560349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed Team Yandex54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.9816142.9%69 W · 92 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6c…c57fbacked Team Yandex1c2,732$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+43.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c28…6a12backed Team Yandex5c2,700$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1235119.6%10 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-52.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Tundra Esports46c2,688$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.1716550.9%84 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Tundra Esports47c2,549$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.1911450%57 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tundra Esports51c2,549$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.0573841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Yandex46c2,482$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.6251751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Yandex3c2,427$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1737811.1%42 W · 336 L+0.8wins0.00per pick11cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82da…da33backed Team Yandex42c2,396$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010743%46 W · 61 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Team Yandex49c2,377$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.4514943%64 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports53c2,255$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.361,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked Team Yandex46c2,254$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.4720452.9%108 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Team Yandex53c2,252$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.7919147.6%91 W · 100 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked Tundra Esports47c2,228$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.196753.7%36 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb110…21eabacked Tundra Esports46c2,200$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.17550.7%38 W · 37 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed Team Yandex54c2,100$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.992850%14 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9db…3999backed Tundra Esports62c2,088$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.964151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Tundra Esports47c2,014$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.8211549.6%57 W · 58 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex51c2,002$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.0460552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x555c…319ebacked Team Yandex50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002552%13 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba7…438abacked Tundra Esports68c1,962$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.8850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9553…cfc7backed Team Yandex63c1,872$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.445158.8%30 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2969…d6e5backed Team Yandex55c1,820$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0014131.7%13 W · 28 L-6.2wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4367…e904backed Team Yandex56c1,789$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d2…e29cbacked Team Yandex7c1,741$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports45c1,704$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.412,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Tundra Esports50c1,622$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.4966662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Tundra Esports49c1,600$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.9933549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Yandex48c1,591$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.651049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c64…c336backed Team Yandex37c1,566$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.889852%51 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed Tundra Esports52c1,552$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.2738653.9%208 W · 178 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Yandex63c1,520$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.0238049.2%187 W · 193 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Team Yandex1c1,500$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3137018.9%70 W · 300 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5df…be7cbacked Tundra Esports50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7509428.7%27 W · 67 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Team Yandex4c1,500$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.66132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Yandex54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.9979959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked Tundra Esports49c1,432$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.4616945%76 W · 93 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x879b…fb7bbacked Tundra Esports51c1,371$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.274168.3%28 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3c1…8174backed Team Yandex41c1,310$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53124947.8%119 W · 130 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8001…3da4backed Tundra Esports45c1,220$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.452339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ea8…077dbacked Tundra Esports47c1,201$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.775349.1%26 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked Team Yandex8c1,181$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907560%45 W · 30 L+9.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed Team Yandex33c1,175$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.7911043.6%48 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8de4…67a8backed Tundra Esports47c1,162$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.213751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Team Yandex50c1,161$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58015345.8%70 W · 83 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Team Yandex53c1,100$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.9935758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1019…d7cabacked Tundra Esports43c1,090$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.16650%33 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Tundra Esports47c1,087$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.231,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe66e…946bbacked Team Yandex9c1,086$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9921043.8%92 W · 118 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Tundra Esports46c1,062$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.3213456%75 W · 59 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports59c1,057$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.881,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed Tundra Esports49c1,044$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.7631245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff96…027cbacked Tundra Esports46c1,013$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.21729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50080443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Team Yandex9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9014443.8%63 W · 81 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Team Yandex55c1,000$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.1442145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Team Yandex56c999.99$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.9923650.4%119 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Team Yandex43c999.97$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.992646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27bc…6275backed Tundra Esports51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.391050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63bc…4179backed Team Yandex60c975.7$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.158834.1%30 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Yandex49c965.68$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.491,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Tundra Esports54c914.19$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.0418746.5%87 W · 100 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Team Yandex56c890.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026453%140 W · 124 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a85…ff94backed Tundra Esports57c872.63$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.6329352.9%155 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Team Yandex12c866.66$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1563032.5%205 W · 425 L+1.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.