TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff96…027c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 52 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.66
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.41
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+311.6%+$502.65
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+114.1%+$340.79
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Sashi Esport - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$53.59
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.64
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.31
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$852Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,041.33
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$518.38
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs OG (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Group Dbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$175.36
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.26
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.41
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.08
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.99
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.18
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.36
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 18 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.78
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.68
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$784.79
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+163.6%+$489.03
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$512
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$547.2
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$524.29
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.87
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+118.1%+$567
Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.91
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.12
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$343
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+191.8%+$559.79
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$454
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.66
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$153.2
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.47
Cavaliers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.97
Nets vs. Lakersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.44
Bulls vs. Thunderbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$582.56
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,119.12
Bulls vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$537.68
Bulls vs. 76ers: 1H Moneylinebacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.11
Pelicans vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.36
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$848Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+104.6%+$887.03
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+349.6%+$841.31
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$429.48
Lakers vs. Pistons: 1H Moneylinebacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$97.23
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.56
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+118.8%+$38.58
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.8
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.94
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.46
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+183.7%+$428.03
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$237
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$273
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+163%+$324.86
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Andres Andradebacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+123.7%+$355.05
Set 1 Winner: Landaluce vs Leheckabacked Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+118%+$206.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.