Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9feadd208ca70695f540795df159fd5c7a46aa03d50ecf8df9def23a7ddeb978
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Nigma Galaxy, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $337,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $337,089 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 58,113$32,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,112.97 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 53,138$25,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,808.12 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 22,214$11,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,792.09 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 13,225$6,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,324.88 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 12,999$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,239.54 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 10,000$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,249.89 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 6,078$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,798.25 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 6,050$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.11 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 5,779$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.74 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 5,560$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.81 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 5,356$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.33 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 3,589$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.81 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…d64fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 0c | 3,367$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 3,129$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.04 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 3,103$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.69 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 3,000$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.55 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 2,869$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.84 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 2,800$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.6 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 2,775$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.06 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 2,503$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.87 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 2,374$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.05 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 2,349$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.62 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 2,225$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.64 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 1,955$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.11 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…8db6backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 1,749$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.19 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 1,547$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.55 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 1,432$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.2 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 1,360$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.07 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 1,347$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.23 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 1,340$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.34 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff96…027cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 1,275$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.12 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 1,224$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.21 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…b857backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 1,200$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.98 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 1,172$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.27 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 1,155$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 1,054$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.56 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 941.59$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.35 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 933.28$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.02 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…1be2backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 904.64$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.67 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 899.84$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 873.3$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.07 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 868.66$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 824.15$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.99 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 789.38$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.22 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 758$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 6c | 743.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 720.21$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.46 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 704.64$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.64 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 643.19$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.85 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 628.1$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.66 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 619.66$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.63 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be4…1f20backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 611.57$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 600$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.81 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 599.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 598.08$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 561.12$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.29 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 553.85$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 542.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.86 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…8c6cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 537.3$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.32 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 506.44$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.45 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 499.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.04 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 491.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.57 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 486.75$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.18 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 483.26$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.98 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…9d98backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 467.96$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.68 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 465.01$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.4 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 442.76$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 426.48$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.55 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 423.34$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.64 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 414.92$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.17 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…7d99backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 399.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 389.68$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 369.63$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.76 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 368.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 350$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.27 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…f319backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 343.47$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.47 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 306.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.12 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 300.54$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.9 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 290$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 281.98$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.61 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…05b5backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 273.74$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 273.63$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.2 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 268.9$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.51 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 268.39$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.59 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…67a8backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 257.17$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.61 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…4fa3backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 252.2$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.67 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 250$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 242.85$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.38 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…0535backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 232.76$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.83 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 225.65$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 220.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 212.89$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.01 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.