TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55db…8db6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Valorant, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT3360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$462.2
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$199.22
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$26.1
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.04
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$50.3
Dota 2: Ramzes Club vs Stariy Bog Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group Abacked Ramzes Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.06
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,727Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,726.63
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,620Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$1,088.81
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,301Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$685.07
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,181Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+81%+$956.92
Dota 2: OG vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$788Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$424.05
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.28
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,123
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+42%+$128.16
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,183Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$565.19
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$67.92
Dota 2: Aurora vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$450.18
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,154.61
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,423Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$827.16
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,762Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$1,114.14
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,384Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$1,429.28
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$798Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$324.98
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,173.83
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$460.85
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.51
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.07
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group Cbacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$251.64
Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer (BO3) - Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE Playoffsbacked Atrix Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$857Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$857.03
Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer - Map 1 Winnerbacked Atrix Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$39.66
Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$96.42
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+153.4%+$154.37
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+164.1%+$33.93
Counter-Strike: ReThink vs Imperial Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Imperial Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+42.8%+$37.38
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+55.6%+$23
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$62.06
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+57.9%+$39.27
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs FOLHA AMARELA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Procyon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+45%+$18.84
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Crashers (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$19.31
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.03
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Gaimin Gladiators - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25.79
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+87.1%+$263.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-03-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,949Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,949.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.