Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c0d20a6c496c80844d5ba3d80086e060725684711be89dd97f06727e75b91c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,684 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 54c | 24,922$13,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,484.51 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 24,409$11,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,228.1 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Aurora | 55c | 17,013$9,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,724.12 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 12,999$5,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,979.52 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 9,808$4,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,506.94 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Aurora | 57c | 6,957$3,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994.74 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…72e8backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 6,666$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.38 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 6,211$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Aurora | 59c | 6,002$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.89 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…8db6backed Aurora | 75c | 5,814$4,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.28 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Aurora | 66c | 4,207$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.63 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Aurora | 60c | 2,155$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.49 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 2,010$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Aurora | 54c | 2,000$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 2,000$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.54 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Aurora | 60c | 1,674$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.81 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 1,639$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.61 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 1,599$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.68 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Aurora | 71c | 1,332$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.68 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Aurora | 60c | 943.37$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.37 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Aurora | 54c | 900$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 899.95$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.54 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…2c75backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Aurora | 59c | 758.1$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.92 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3eb…33d3backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 745$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.15 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…98c3backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 715.46$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.57 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 708.81$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.53 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 676.19$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Aurora | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Aurora | 59c | 521.01$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.61 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 69c | 501.55$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.87 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Aurora | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Aurora | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 446.23$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 64c | 413.5$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.39 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Aurora | 55c | 406.27$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.35 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 402.81$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.51 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 399.6$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.33 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908b…247cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 313.05$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.35 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Aurora | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Aurora | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Aurora | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b1…a7b6backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 299.26$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 295.45$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 268$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Aurora | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…5bc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 245$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Aurora | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c3…f000backed Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…a4a0backed Aurora | 58c | 173.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed Aurora | 60c | 170.58$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.63 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 167.09$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Aurora | 70c | 142.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Aurora | 54c | 136.23$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 133.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Aurora | 50c | 122.04$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Aurora | 63c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 14c | 118.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 112.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…7807backed Aurora | 56c | 110.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad9…7bf6backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 110.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e7…174fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0942…f42fbacked Aurora | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Aurora | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Aurora | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Aurora | 56c | 99.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13aa…88d6backed Aurora | 63c | 95.72$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 187 | 69%129 W · 58 L | +20.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Aurora | 59c | 84.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Aurora | 53c | 78.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…ba9ebacked Aurora | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Aurora | 52c | 67.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…63bebacked Aurora | 60c | 66.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 60.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Aurora | 52c | 54.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Aurora | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…8181backed Aurora | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33da…f818backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5955backed Aurora | 74c | 42.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…3411backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…9474backed Aurora | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 33.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 31.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 30.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…17b1backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 29.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Aurora | 74c | 26.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Aurora | 60c | 22.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +18.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96dc…2c45backed Aurora | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 374 | 56.4%211 W · 163 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cec…921abacked Aurora | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group BAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.