Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bb154d1c051fe47cee50d1fa8be554754697d05b2e340ff73929882b5f92180
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $261,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,977 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Aurora | 56c | 118,438$65,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,440.34 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 73,076$32,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,317.14 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 50,000$21,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,499.96 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 56c | 35,829$19,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,841.93 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 16,000$6,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,929.98 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…72e8backed Aurora | 58c | 7,494$4,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,114.99 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 6,010$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778.11 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 4,124$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.79 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 3,750$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.39 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 3,495$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.93 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 2,836$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.53 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 2,827$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.11 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Aurora | 56c | 2,699$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.32 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…8c08backed Xtreme Gaming | 12c | 2,280$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.02 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Aurora | 57c | 2,022$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.64 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Aurora | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,822$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,800$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 1,783$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.34 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Aurora | 56c | 1,755$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.33 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 1,651$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,446$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.29 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 1,353$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.77 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Aurora | 49c | 1,232$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.64 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…d6e5backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 1,047$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Aurora | 56c | 1,005$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.03 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…b857backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Aurora | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Aurora | 57c | 964.91$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.91 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 946.79$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.07 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Aurora | 55c | 818.34$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.73 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 817$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.08 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Xtreme Gaming | 21c | 799.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 51c | 772.3$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.23 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Aurora | 51c | 772$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.68 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 731.23$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 706.7$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.02 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Aurora | 56c | 705.36$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.36 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…8db6backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 670.17$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.38 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Aurora | 55c | 599.87$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.94 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Aurora | 53c | 596.91$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.94 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Aurora | 54c | 590.65$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.17 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Aurora | 38c | 589.68$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.37 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Aurora | 60c | 585.3$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.3 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Aurora | 52c | 554.98$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.39 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 500$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.51 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed Aurora | 55c | 499.35$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.71 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Xtreme Gaming | 21c | 497.63$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Aurora | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Aurora | 53c | 455.96$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.3 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Aurora | 54c | 400$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ad…4be9backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 398$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff96…027cbacked Aurora | 60c | 380.64$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Aurora | 53c | 377.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.61 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Aurora | 54c | 371.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…98c3backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 360$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…1b12backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 340.71$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.54 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Aurora | 76c | 308.42$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.42 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Aurora | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.94 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Aurora | 56c | 269.25$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.52 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Xtreme Gaming | 13c | 257.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Aurora | 54c | 228$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.17 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 218.35$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.91 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 208.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…d64fbacked Aurora | 55c | 200.11$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.05 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Aurora | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…5bc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Aurora | 56c | 195.61$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.23 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5c…786abacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 191.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora | 52c | 188.46$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a8…d8cdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 166.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 19c | 165$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 160$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Aurora | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Aurora | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0942…f42fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 149.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 141$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Aurora | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 138.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 128.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x908b…247cbacked Aurora | 53c | 125.42$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…4d2abacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…63bebacked Aurora | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Aurora | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 92.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…cd5fbacked Aurora | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…def8backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 88.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 88.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Aurora | 43c | 88.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…b386backed Aurora | 59c | 85.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 321 | 54.8%176 W · 145 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group BAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.