CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94fe0833dfe6f898effb6c8cc3d617258b56e9fb3aa1900af0c402e78950ecf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Oxuji Esports, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Oxuji Esports | 75c | 1,300$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.4 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phantom | 36c | 627.61$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.76 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom | 32c | 561.04$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.64 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Oxuji Esports | 75c | 502.7$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.28 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…70cdbacked Phantom | 26c | 387.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.69 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Phantom | 30c | 385.25$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.48 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oxuji Esports | 72c | 350.64$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.18 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked Oxuji Esports | 47c | 300$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 118 | 30.5%36 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Phantom | 54c | 294.5$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.93 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Oxuji Esports | 16c | 289.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Phantom | 35c | 258.09$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.76 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Phantom | 24c | 254$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.3 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Oxuji Esports | 10c | 215.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Phantom | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Oxuji Esports | 74c | 174.75$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.61 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Oxuji Esports | 73c | 163.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Phantom | 28c | 155$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.46 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Oxuji Esports | 22c | 145$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked Phantom | 55c | 109.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Phantom | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked Phantom | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Oxuji Esports | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Phantom | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Phantom | 32c | 89.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Phantom | 23c | 85.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Phantom | 26c | 75.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Phantom | 14c | 72.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 303 | 35.6%108 W · 195 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Oxuji Esports | 70c | 71.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc218…b88ebacked Oxuji Esports | 72c | 67.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073c…02d3backed Oxuji Esports | 77c | 64.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked Oxuji Esports | 75c | 60.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Oxuji Esports | 55c | 59.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…1afdbacked Oxuji Esports | 64c | 55.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…8db6backed Phantom | 38c | 54.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Phantom | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Phantom | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Phantom | 26c | 47.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…2a21backed Oxuji Esports | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Phantom | 64c | 31.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…ca17backed Oxuji Esports | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Oxuji Esports | 68c | 22.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…3d5ebacked Phantom | 68c | 21.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Oxuji Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…5c50backed Phantom | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb28…d82cbacked Oxuji Esports | 72c | 15.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Oxuji Esports | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.