TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: OG vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Xtreme Gamingof OG, Xtreme Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$666,922
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$790,365

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $666,922 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 453 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming61c88,284$54,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,216.241,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Xtreme Gaming63c53,137$33,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,660.7117452.3%91 W · 83 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed OG36c40,930$14,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,582.7822644.7%101 W · 125 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed OG37c36,459$13,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,554.5233746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Xtreme Gaming63c23,942$15,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,858.522948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked OG34c21,241$7,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,240.8889741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Xtreme Gaming61c20,013$12,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,865.0411953.8%64 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked OG40c19,678$7,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,903.471,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Xtreme Gaming65c19,500$12,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,824.0580256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked OG40c19,301$7,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,657.517948.6%87 W · 92 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed OG35c15,075$5,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,229.9869644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Xtreme Gaming65c12,459$8,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,330.311,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed OG38c12,153$4,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,620.3345139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed OG35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50011547%54 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked OG43c8,941$3,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,860.652,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked OG39c8,819$3,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,464.771,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x372f…182abacked OG3c8,681$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.915362.3%33 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked OG36c8,202$2,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,938.7241944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming60c8,188$4,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,303.3896557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Xtreme Gaming75c7,350$5,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.6553764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked OG35c7,015$2,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,455.456542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed OG35c6,486$2,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,285.0629042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed OG38c6,176$2,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,354.3214825%37 W · 111 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed OG43c6,008$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,610.231,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf054…eae7backed OG40c5,465$2,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,17712557.6%72 W · 53 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Xtreme Gaming64c5,071$3,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,828.3961456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b7…500fbacked OG37c5,035$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,887.942737%10 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Xtreme Gaming60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00027153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Xtreme Gaming64c4,075$2,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.6231248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Xtreme Gaming59c4,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.895154.9%28 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed OG36c3,773$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.4556955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed OG37c3,635$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.4836248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed OG35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05015144.4%67 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74fc…a0bdbacked Xtreme Gaming65c3,000$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.21442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed OG47c2,983$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.8441056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa41…79dbbacked OG36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked OG43c2,776$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.011,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Xtreme Gaming63c2,679$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.2311753%62 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed OG36c2,595$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.264744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7900…3393backed Xtreme Gaming64c2,374$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.48457.1%48 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Xtreme Gaming70c2,241$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.592056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc156…f76cbacked OG53c2,221$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.1916547.9%79 W · 86 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed OG34c2,200$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74881029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a94…5e99backed Xtreme Gaming62c2,200$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.896159%36 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked OG44c2,099$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.727143.5%118 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed OG42c2,069$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.112,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked OG35c2,006$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.789749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Xtreme Gaming62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76032441.7%135 W · 189 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed OG36c2,000$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72565441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed OG34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.984843.8%21 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked OG28c1,909$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.1699844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed OG39c1,906$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.4322727.3%62 W · 165 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Xtreme Gaming65c1,893$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.4648954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Xtreme Gaming65c1,841$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.388459.5%50 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0188…91babacked Xtreme Gaming55c1,830$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.53951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed OG36c1,655$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.830336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x75bf…4ba8backed OG51c1,600$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.352128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-46.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed OG41c1,595$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.8345750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed OG8c1,575$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.842347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked OG43c1,558$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.5796645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked OG45c1,554$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.1277458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb665…ed24backed Xtreme Gaming65c1,537$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.498540%34 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Xtreme Gaming64c1,534$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.1161057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked OG11c1,507$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.541,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed OG37c1,501$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.3729348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed OG36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54058744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Xtreme Gaming63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.9949455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x483a…01d6backed Xtreme Gaming66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.957545.3%34 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Xtreme Gaming63c1,452$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.4914157.4%81 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked Xtreme Gaming60c1,407$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.5139343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked OG36c1,406$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50622340.4%90 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed OG36c1,400$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Xtreme Gaming60c1,322$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.6729160.1%175 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x009b…26dabacked Xtreme Gaming60c1,316$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.3821144.1%93 W · 118 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Xtreme Gaming60c1,309$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.2648057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked OG40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50041055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed OG35c1,224$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.5168649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55db…8db6backed Xtreme Gaming65c1,212$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.053360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed OG20c1,185$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.9869132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked OG38c1,148$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.244443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed OG35c1,138$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.1219242.7%82 W · 110 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked OG45c1,121$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.631,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Xtreme Gaming62c1,111$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.177742.9%33 W · 44 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d38…f0c7backed OG40c1,099$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed OG35c1,097$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.9488539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed OG37c1,077$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.4935151.3%180 W · 171 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed OG39c1,062$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.247046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked OG42c1,060$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.113442.5%57 W · 77 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked OG36c1,052$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.5820367%136 W · 67 L+14.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked Xtreme Gaming51c1,050$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9512146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed OG37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37024153.1%128 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked OG35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35026846.6%125 W · 143 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked OG41c999.99$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41060646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c5…378abacked Xtreme Gaming63c997.58$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.94650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+78.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Xtreme Gaming62c979$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.0224636.6%90 W · 156 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked OG36c978.99$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.8635951.3%184 W · 175 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Xtreme Gaming64c973$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.2886659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Xtreme Gaming62c969.55$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.5550850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ae…224fbacked OG44c938$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.71050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb333…c7eebacked Xtreme Gaming65c913.97$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.892560%15 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.