TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$171,528
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$219,022

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,528 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c47,518$19,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,051.476,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a9c5backed Over52c16,390$8,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,867.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under17c10,289$1,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,767.322,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c7,597$4,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,042.674,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under17c6,656$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.862,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over18c5,200$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,268.212931%9 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under51c2,647$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.9846943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under55c2,531$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.242,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c67…a813backed Over57c2,513$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.46683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3bd…c88dbacked Over53c2,417$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.741346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over45c2,229$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.216446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Over43c2,213$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.412548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over28c2,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44010924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Over54c1,486$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.152133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over52c1,449$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.284850%24 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Over78c1,400$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3081040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over53c1,375$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.375742.1%24 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over73c1,323$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.1325256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over33c1,250$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.52236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over33c1,173$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.725935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5503525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over52c998.08$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.0835028.9%101 W · 249 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under60c997.31$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.741,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under79c945.9$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over45c883.04$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.049946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under54c877.5$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.754468.2%30 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over69c849.74$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.4230050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e24…c746backed Over49c750.4$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.41241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over33c743.43$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.4310939.4%43 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Under54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over58c711.62$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.887642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over54c625.61$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.614645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over45c597$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.3596445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over43c579.44$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.288236.6%30 W · 52 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x55db…8db6backed Over53c566.9$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Under18c499.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.79550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over39c464.95$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.0341160.1%247 W · 164 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Over73c420.32$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.496168.9%42 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x789e…cf5ebacked Under61c419.82$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over48c417.39$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.394355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a31…016dbacked Under55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-40.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over26c382.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.144740.4%19 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over52c363.97$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.7661143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over79c349.76$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.456666.7%44 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3328654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x955f…2a6fbacked Over30c333.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.315100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+108.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6c5…0d72backed Under21c320.49$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.232437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over45c320$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1769238%35 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over42c299.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.9915740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over73c299.66$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.711,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under49c290$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.14942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under36c289.18$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2413152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf343…fba6backed Over35c288.43$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.481553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over53c284.73$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.82977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under47c273.26$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4131747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20dc…f74cbacked Over48c256.39$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.324540%18 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over14c215.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.335932.2%19 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb903…9942backed Over54c205.45$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.453644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over54c203.34$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1425049.6%124 W · 126 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Under49c202.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8410252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Over57c189.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.75949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under20c189.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9716357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over37c189.19$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.1916731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xad8b…aa8dbacked Over53c188.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.441560%9 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over53c186.72$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.763240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbd4…5faabacked Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over49c177.55$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5520864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Under57c175.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over43c162.79$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.793650%18 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under69c160.59$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1511450.9%58 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under12c160$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.44411.4%5 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92a…8936backed Under11c160$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.42917.2%5 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2520644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over60c151.96$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.418059.4%107 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b4f…75f2backed Over53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under49c145$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.054951%25 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9fa…c365backed Under79c140$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.65944.1%26 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under44c137.61$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0325348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under49c131.32$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3449753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over39c126.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6716045.6%73 W · 87 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea8…af03backed Over49c123$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.731457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over38c119.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6913842.8%59 W · 79 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under43c117.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504822.9%11 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.11771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over38c110.34$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.416835.3%24 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…b894backed Over73c108.9$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.96045%27 W · 33 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under38c107.9$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1942658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.045056%28 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Over67c101$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.335149%25 W · 26 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c99.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9955254.5%301 W · 251 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1511053.6%59 W · 51 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f8b…e16abacked Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Over37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.082326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Under48c77.22$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.984551.1%23 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under18c75.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5831648.7%154 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under49c72.51$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.533450%17 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.