Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e2ba4eedfbe05824cd21ae08863b98efe0cc50d9d593a8e60226a8aa96c41ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FCof Liverpool FC, Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 79c | 6,492$5,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.64 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Liverpool FC | 21c | 3,245$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.37 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Liverpool FC | 22c | 2,498$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.22 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Liverpool FC | 23c | 1,805$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.04 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 77c | 1,781$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.58 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Liverpool FC | 24c | 1,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 80c | 1,595$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Liverpool FC | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Liverpool FC | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 78c | 624.99$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 76c | 509.65$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.32 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 79c | 305.98$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 79c | 304.23$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Liverpool FC | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Liverpool FC | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Liverpool FC | 20c | 249.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 79c | 214.81$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Liverpool FC | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f89…6cb8backed Liverpool FC | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Liverpool FC | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Liverpool FC | 21c | 199.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 79c | 189.2$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Liverpool FC | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Liverpool FC | 16c | 104.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Liverpool FC | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 78c | 94.84$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Liverpool FC | 20c | 89.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Liverpool FC | 22c | 84.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Liverpool FC | 16c | 74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Liverpool FC | 20c | 64.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Liverpool FC | 23c | 62.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Liverpool FC | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Liverpool FC | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 77c | 37.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ff…cf90backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…2f97backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cd…2da0backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 80c | 22.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…5638backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…98acbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 79c | 13.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +244.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39bd…1027backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…0f16backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.