Premier League · resolved market
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17746fdb95e3a85cc5bf5bb8fcf1d9e1bf7a40db287d484fd8f2f127ca24ebb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 18c | 3,084$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.29 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60d…761abacked Over | 19c | 1,083$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 19c | 900$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 724.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 16c | 567$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 21c | 476.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Over | 20c | 270$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 10c | 250$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 79c | 202.24$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 7c | 161.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Over | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Under | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 250 | 57.6%144 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x261c…d49dbacked Under | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 80c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb301…0ae9backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.