TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,408
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,408 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d73…044bbacked Under52c15,000$7,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,874.764235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c6,146$3,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,604.346,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over60c4,690$2,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,876.119055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over50c4,410$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2055754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over61c3,500$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.9950644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over26c3,355$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,468.384,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under39c2,930$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.5485048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under40c2,513$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.312,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over34c2,322$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.435028.9%101 W · 249 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c67…a813backed Under63c2,300$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.93683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over25c2,058$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.510924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over25c1,714$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.146445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over61c1,697$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.6812949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Under60c1,611$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.991154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+56.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Over60c1,333$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.335350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over25c1,325$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.3546943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1104…39fabacked Under41c1,235$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.531330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid+28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Under71c1,178$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.584751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under39c1,100$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4291,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over36c1,000$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6389256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over58c999.99$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4203655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over30c999.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.9926548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Under40c999.98$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.997853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under39c967.9$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.592,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over12c919$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.7223926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over55c910.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.2928654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over23c801.32$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.0211727.4%32 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over60c800$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32013565.2%88 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under14c704$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.974914.3%7 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+76.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Under45c686.84$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.884663%29 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over21c570.49$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.494645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under39c549.26$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.9552454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe634…fae1backed Under68c500.47$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+220.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over25c500$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3754129.3%12 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30010939.4%43 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over25c500$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.515740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2006953.6%37 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc934…5551backed Under10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc461…83dbbacked Under10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick9cpaid+185.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ffa…cc36backed Under10c499.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over39c487.47$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.612,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over61c443.17$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.1720054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over59c440.46$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.1814975.8%113 W · 36 L+26.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under68c439.97$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under79c347.33$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.1396445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under63c326.49$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.584143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4de1…22a0backed Under10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30316.5%2 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Under40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12017337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7537…801dbacked Under10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bcb…5731backed Under38c299.96$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.99742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+68.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b8d…9805backed Over62c286.34$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4580…94f8backed Under39c285.69$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over37c270.94$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.5331747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Under74c269.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004040%16 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under17c250$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6314553.1%77 W · 68 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ce…26c2backed Under39c244.61$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae5…45b7backed Over62c243.96$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc0…65a2backed Over60c243.33$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.331258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9d…a968backed Over60c241.12$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Under40c230$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over30c219.55$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.5528633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Over38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1244975.5%37 W · 12 L+8.3wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+29.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785757.9%33 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1461457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7855254.5%301 W · 251 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Under39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784360.5%26 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over24c199.97$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.9819235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Over38c196.21$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.213740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under39c196$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4412454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x169b…6f9ebacked Over60c193.17$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.271080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over60c183.33$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.338953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over61c182.31$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.16835.3%24 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over62c177.9$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.63630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over13c176$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.1216045.6%73 W · 87 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0954…bfffbacked Over40c169.6$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+43.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x355c…2c1cbacked Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.675964.4%38 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9320864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a4a…044ebacked Over60c162.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.151070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.298158%47 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over28c154.98$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9325049.6%124 W · 126 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over41c148.8$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.83650%18 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked Under41c146.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over23c139.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.594833.3%16 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e7b…9716backed Over62c138.89$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.78771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over60c138.88$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5510850%54 W · 54 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under62c137.85$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.491,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over37c134.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4635743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Over30c131.51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5110540%42 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over61c130$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5120763.8%132 W · 75 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under40c124.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.728144.4%36 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under12c120$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.524411.4%5 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92a…8936backed Under12c120$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.522917.2%5 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb550…8f5dbacked Over36c110$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.11966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+33.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under48c109.8$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0461143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeba1…44dfbacked Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked Over63c106.35$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.351838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406947.8%33 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.