TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,865
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,030

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,865 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under63c20,515$12,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,595.5716040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under63c13,003$8,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,819.362,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over32c11,305$3,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,589.096,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over37c6,701$2,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,479.51,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over37c6,321$2,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,338.7337054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Over37c5,400$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-50.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over38c4,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.9950644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under63c3,407$2,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.4251750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over15c3,342$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.754,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under62c2,563$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.8885048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Under65c2,300$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80513565.2%88 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf425…be71backed Over38c1,835$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.46650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+44.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over41c1,821$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7508851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over38c1,629$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.322050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1104…39fabacked Over38c1,283$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.151330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid+28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over37c1,257$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4655625%14 W · 42 L-9.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-50.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over9c1,012$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6846943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under62c799.98$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.3352454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under58c793.64$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.882,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Over36c713.51$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.8610743%46 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over38c657.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cbb…c561backed Over37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Under79c506.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.332466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454129.3%12 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over13c500$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.710924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Under63c499.97$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.997853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a33…7909backed Under80c461.66$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under62c413.16$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15772249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16439948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over38c373.21$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1428048.8%39 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under68c367.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6510850.9%55 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010939.4%43 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over37c320.31$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.611,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over35c281.64$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5742048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over4c269.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1028633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Over38c252.63$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965438.9%21 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956157.4%35 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over14c243.21$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3435743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Under61c236.72$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3231053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under65c201.54$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5426344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1819235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f14…c845backed Over10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9722…8758backed Over38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-53.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over38c195$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.128242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over18c188.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6549753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Under61c180$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.920763.8%132 W · 75 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over10c166.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.351,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36c8…2925backed Under65c165.46$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.461369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d0…6fc8backed Under64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick70cpaid-48%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2211…ed34backed Over37c149.29$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x78e3…eb62backed Over38c146$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over36c140$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.430645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb82…5461backed Under64c137.62$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.54742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5aa…e920backed Over37c137.58$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.92356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10cd…2da0backed Over38c136.11$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.485563.6%35 W · 20 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Over37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over38c131.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.943727%10 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x795d…5687backed Under64c126.32$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.483100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over38c121.34$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.115250%26 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25cd…6234backed Over37c114.65$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over37c114.59$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.45147.1%24 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under63c110$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.74932.7%16 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae6f…8a1bbacked Under64c109.38$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.381968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over39c109.37$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6536554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf158…aa4bbacked Over37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Over37c105.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.064551.1%23 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f5…035cbacked Over19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+46.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Over39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403933.3%13 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Over36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3620819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd359…6007backed Under63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389339.8%37 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over38c94.74$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3614551.7%75 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over39c89.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3540841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Under68c89.7$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.726446.9%30 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over19c84.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0525550.2%128 W · 127 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc884…a4e6backed Under65c70.31$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.613250%16 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257356.2%41 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over37c67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7960728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514431.9%46 W · 98 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0b…83e4backed Over38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under62c65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.724044.2%106 W · 134 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Over24c64.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.645349.1%26 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under63c64.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7475850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee7…2e05backed Over37c63.03$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10e6…64c7backed Under64c62$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe83…3b00backed Under63c61$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.576338.1%24 W · 39 L-8.0wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under73c57.01$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6461143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under69c56.06$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4113152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba0…e885backed Under63c55.55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.552231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed Over25c54.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.435927.1%16 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-54.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over36c53.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1549254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under63c51.24$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9616357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf10…557ebacked Over40c47.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.021827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7798…874fbacked Over37c44.92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Under61c43.73$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.061361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+72%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.