TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7d0b…83e4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 52 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.66
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$16.15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+53.8%+$12.92
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+284.6%+$39.85
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+488.2%+$122.06
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+316.7%+$45.6
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18.4
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+400%+$40
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.34
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.03
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.08
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Athletic Club vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Will PSV win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+733.3%+$88
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$29.6
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Athletic Club vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Getafe CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+300%+$37.5
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$18.33
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-57.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Lille OSC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
FK Crvena zvezda vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+63.1%+$15.77
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$16.5
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.65
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-60%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Porto vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.