Serie A · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82c5f254336364cb554c36c0a249a2af566f3a17038a883964f6834f4d396e88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 9,977$4,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,291.77 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 54c | 6,942$3,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720.6 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 54c | 3,940$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 47c | 3,300$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 47c | 2,749$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.5 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 53c | 2,193$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.91 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 2,122$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.32 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 46c | 2,000$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.72 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4557backed Yes | 55c | 1,812$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 54c | 1,319$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.04 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,115$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Yes | 53c | 999.96$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 52c | 923.09$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.01 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 52c | 909.69$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.04 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 47c | 856.38$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.88 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked No | 48c | 840.61$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.11 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 47c | 638.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.67 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 595.35$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.91 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 52c | 559.9$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed No | 47c | 540$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…bb43backed Yes | 54c | 407.41$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…b36abacked Yes | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 54c | 333.33$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4f…f1e0backed No | 48c | 326.49$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 40c | 310.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.84 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Yes | 54c | 300.19$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked No | 48c | 270.83$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 236$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.44 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ef…9ea8backed Yes | 55c | 213.04$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 40c | 203.69$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.02 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Yes | 54c | 201.01$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…d3c3backed No | 47c | 197.06$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 46c | 184.76$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.85 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ea…6d59backed No | 47c | 178.68$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 58c | 172.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 50c | 171.5$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Yes | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed Yes | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…ed01backed Yes | 55c | 154.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 46c | 137.91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.91 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 53c | 118$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed No | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 46c | 102.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed No | 48c | 102.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…3c35backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbd…351ebacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e6…11afbacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…4e25backed Yes | 52c | 88.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 45c | 87.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Yes | 58c | 84.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 67c | 84.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Yes | 54c | 77.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 46c | 69.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bc…5dedbacked No | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…f219backed Yes | 42c | 54.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 23c | 54.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 46c | 53.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 29c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…dc9bbacked Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 46c | 39.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 58c | 37.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…ce69backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…0b89backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfe…f954backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…83e4backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…ef4fbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 54c | 36.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…6c1ebacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Yes | 54c | 33.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fa…b4a6backed Yes | 53c | 32.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked No | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed No | 67c | 31.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b2…1cefbacked No | 48c | 30.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f7…274dbacked No | 43c | 30.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc377…3e5dbacked Yes | 58c | 29.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8a…7fd4backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9272…647fbacked No | 48c | 28.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Yes | 54c | 27.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a9…cffbbacked Yes | 53c | 26.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…14f0backed Yes | 54c | 25.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19fa…83d2backed Yes | 54c | 25.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)AC Milan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.