Serie A · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b73165883bfa5000791acc7f5a886026e85323b00f63585143aa78c0410ac08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 77c | 3,929$3,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.44 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 44c | 3,471$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.7 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Over | 60c | 2,600$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.78 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 1,998$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.97 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ef…9f9bbacked Over | 21c | 1,652$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 1,600$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.01 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Under | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.91 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 24c | 1,200$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.06 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Under | 68c | 1,183$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.19 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 9c | 1,125$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +7.4wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +285.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 29c | 941.64$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.68 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 42c | 843.65$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.14 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 63c | 715.23$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.17 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 24c | 631.2$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.86 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 49c | 580.2$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.7 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 35c | 573.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 58c | 518.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc44…e036backed Over | 67c | 514.93$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 24c | 495.83$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 73c | 479.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed Under | 73c | 467.45$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.11 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Under | 78c | 436.4$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.01 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 420.57$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.37 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 77c | 399.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…122ebacked Under | 42c | 368.6$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 311.05$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.47 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Over | 56c | 261.9$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.38 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Under | 77c | 220$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Over | 27c | 188.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 40c | 175$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.22 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 43c | 173.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.87 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…8b4cbacked Under | 29c | 172.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 44c | 168.65$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 41c | 162.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Under | 77c | 155.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 44c | 140.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 51c | 140$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under | 71c | 134.15$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…6373backed Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…b8ffbacked Over | 77c | 121.91$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 44c | 114.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Over | 54c | 113.07$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 68c | 112.76$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 57c | 108.77$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf82…97f3backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 42c | 92.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Over | 23c | 92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b5…4a34backed Under | 41c | 85.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 36c | 70.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Over | 22c | 68.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 75c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Under | 77c | 64.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 48c | 64.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +9.1wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 36c | 63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Over | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…f219backed Over | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c7…ffd7backed Under | 78c | 50.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Over | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Over | 24c | 49.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 25c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb498…2fcabacked Over | 43c | 39.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…a228backed Under | 78c | 38.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949d…374cbacked Under | 77c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9c…18fbbacked Under | 72c | 35.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Under | 77c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 68c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Under | 77c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 77c | 29.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked Under | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 55c | 26.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Under | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e59…1e68backed Under | 77c | 22.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1864…3904backed Over | 71c | 21.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cd…6e8bbacked Over | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 73cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38ee…012fbacked Under | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 55c | 18.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…883fbacked Under | 75c | 17.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Under | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28cd…33a2backed Under | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99df…b59abacked Under | 69c | 15.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked Under | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 77c | 13.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5this page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)AC Milan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.